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-   -   Unitab Lay Method (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=18811)

Merriguy 2nd May 2009 04:46 PM

Great effort, Michael !!

michaelg 2nd May 2009 05:40 PM

I was in two minds about including the only accident - it won three starts ago. One of the system filters is if the selection won two starts ago then it becomes a non-selection. I'm now adding this as an extra filter to the system. If I had done so, today's result would have been been 10 smiles from 10 qualifiers - bummer!

I suppose I shouldn't be too unhappy, as the system finished in front with a profit of 1.5 units.

goty0405 2nd May 2009 08:25 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
4) Minimum of 11 placed-points over last two starts.
I dont understand what this means. Can you explain what you mean by 11 placed-points?

Try Try Again 2nd May 2009 09:08 PM

Hi Goty0405,

My understanding is the total of the horse's past 2 starts must be >= 11

For example Sugar Babe formline was 3s784, thus its past 2 starts added up to 12 so it became a qualifier.

michaelg 3rd May 2009 06:17 AM

Try, that is correct.

I'm basing the system on the premise that horses that win (or place) continue to win, and horses that lose continue to lose. It doesn't always happen but hopefully it will with our selections.

goty0405 3rd May 2009 08:01 AM

Thanks fellas. I thought it might be something like that but hadnt heard that terminology used. Makes sense though.

michaelg 3rd May 2009 09:46 AM

Today's selections are:

Sandown R8 no.12 - Woodwin
Cranbourne R6 no.11 - Toomah Boy
Cranbourne R9 no.5 - Business Chick
Northam R5 no.7 - Tivation
Northam R8 no.5 - Lap Of Honour
Hobart R8 no.3 - Brodie's Boy

michaelg 3rd May 2009 06:53 PM

There were only two qualifiers today for two smiles.

It has now been 7 days using the method and the results are:

30 qualifiers for 26 smiles for a profit of 9.74 units.

michaelg 4th May 2009 10:36 AM

Today's selections are:

Narromine R4 no.6 - Chief Solano
Narromine R6 no.7 - Sports City
Narromine R8 no.1 - Altjira
Stawell R9 no.4 - Mr Martindale
Ipswich R5 no.5 - Rhodamine
Ipswich R7 no.13 - Silken Appeal
Ipswich R8 no.1 - Another Speights.

MrFugly 4th May 2009 12:38 PM

Unitab Lay Method selections 4/5/09
 
Ipswich R5 - 5 Rhodamine (220) ?


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