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-   -   Form from slowly run races (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=19004)

lomaca 25th June 2009 08:44 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by lomaca
yes crash,
not wanting to inflame the matter but I agree with you.
I'm familiar with both the site and the article in question, I even thought to myself, crash is learning and behaving himself by blocking the reference to the site.
There is such a thing as being afraid of one's own shadow I think!

Good luck
Let it go Crash, not worth it!

crash 25th June 2009 09:26 AM

I'm going to do just that. My initial intention with this thread was to improve punting knowledge, not to create controversy.

Moderator 3 25th June 2009 05:04 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Maurice
When i joined, i read the forum rules.
I did not pay to become a member, before joining, read pages upon pages of threads, all for free. I am really knowledgeable and make a living gambling on horses and am unlikely to become a customer (personally).
Maurice this site does not sell any racing package memberships. Moderator 3.

Maurice 25th June 2009 06:23 PM

I apologize for not being clearer Moderator3, i was referring to the phrase catch22 and general forum rules regarding deletions and discretionary powers etc and i am not sure what a "racing package membership" is.

Steve M 25th June 2009 07:36 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Reckless
Why do we see such great variation in pace these days ?. Is it due to better tactics developed by jockeys / trainers - perhaps international influence with different riding styles etc ? Maybe more initiative given to jockeys to make an on the spot decision.

Is there such a wide variation? Has it not always been like this?

Brendon 12th July 2009 07:06 PM

EXAMPLE
 
Form from slowly run races.

Lets look at Sandown and compare two 1200M races:

The Open 1200M hcp won by Signor Socks (R.6), and the 2YO 1200M won by Denamn

The Open was actually a litle slower than the 2YO 1200 (R.3) The first 600 for the 2YO was 39.2secs, but the first 600 for the Open race was nearly a second slower!

My clock said 1:15.60 for the 2YO race and 1:15:72 for the Open race. So the last 600 for the open race was a bit faster. Big deal.

There should be about 6 lengths, or 1 second (correct me if I'm wrong) between 2 year olds and open races. Give or take. So, the open race was waaaay slower, when taken into consideration.

The faster run 2YO race was won by the predictable favorite Denman. Even I won on that.

The slow Open race was run by an unlikely leader/winner. But oh yeah, there was In The Shadows and Silky Smooth trying to run down the sit and sprint run of Signor Socks in the last 200. Congrats to Yendall for getting away with it.

But where was the pressure from the better horses earlier on? Moreso In The Shadows who was closer to the lead in the first 600 but never put any pressure on in what was really a dawdle.

IMO, the jockeys on better horses primed in the Open race allowed tactics to beat them.

Reckless 12th July 2009 08:16 PM

Yeah I reckon those following Yendall expected his ride to fall in a heap - and got caught napping.

crash 13th July 2009 06:36 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Brendon
Form from slowly run races.

Lets look at Sandown and compare two 1200M races:

The Open 1200M hcp won by Signor Socks (R.6), and the 2YO 1200M won by Denamn

My clock said 1:15.60 for the 2YO race and 1:15:72 for the Open race. So the last 600 for the open race was a bit faster. Big deal.

There should be about 6 lengths, or 1 second (correct me if I'm wrong) between 2 year olds and open races. Give or take. So, the open race was waaaay slower, when taken into consideration.



Both races were VERY slow. 1.10 [Record for Sandown is 1.07.74] would be a reasonably quick race over 1200m on a good or dead track, but 1.15? That's about 30 lengths outside a decent time and over 40 lengths outside the track record! Was the track a heavy 9 or something?

Brendon 13th July 2009 09:17 AM

A heavy 10, I think.

I'll try and find similar conditions at Sandown and get back on that one. I ditched record times as a comparison because of the conditions and tried to find a comparison between races on the day.

Postscript: Avdulla must have learnt his lesson because he got up a lot closer to the lead with Greatwall Of China in the last.

I'm still trying to nut out wet days.....

Brendon 13th July 2009 10:23 AM

Moonee Valley 8 June Kindrate 1:17 for 1200 on a Heavy 10.

1200m RECORD

16.09.06

Miss Andretti

55kg

1-09.29

GOOD3

4.34

True



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