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-   -   Coincidence (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=19123)

michaelg 25th July 2009 06:11 AM

Yes, it was a good day.

I'm retaining the original rules as it more or less works out to have the same results.

Yesterday there were 10 winners from the 14 races. The outlay was $89 and the return was $123.60 with NSW TAB divvies.

I'm only looking at the country meetings today.

Merriguy 25th July 2009 07:37 AM

Like all your systems, Michael --- interesting!

Effectively, though, w/o that Goulburn winner you would have been in the aaaa --- despite the other nine winners.

It will be interesting to see how the restricted number of fields goes today. From personal experience --- and from what has been said in this forum --- Saturdays seem hard days to turn a dollar.

thorns 25th July 2009 08:02 AM

Always enjoy systems like these, so simple. I half wonder if the holy grail is going to be something as simple as this lol!

michaelg 25th July 2009 09:48 AM

Yes, its going great - so far. And applying a loss-chasing plan has had produced an ever higher profit - again, so far.

As a matter of interest, I applied the neural BP category to these same races but gave up after soon realising that it was an inaccurate lottery.

Also from testing, fields of 15-plus runners seem to have tended to favour the outside barriers, and under 12 starters has been more or less a 50/50 proposition.

michaelg 25th July 2009 10:29 AM

I have looked at races with 15-plus runners, the only filter is to omit odds-on races, there was only one. The results (Unitab divvies) for the past 7 days backing outside barriers are:

14 races.
10 winners.
Outlay of $113
Return of $204.80.

Interesting...

michaelg 25th July 2009 11:35 AM

Using the Ouside Barrier method I've just bagged the winner at Townsville R1. It paid $29.30 from a total bet of $8. However, I didn't bet the exotics which is a pity because it also struck the quinella of $161, the trifecta of $20,000 ($11,000 on Unitab),and the first four.

Somewhat encouraged I'll now list the selections in the other qualifying races and see how they go.

Townsville R4 nos. 3, 5, 7, 9, 10, 12, 13, 17
Townsville R6 nos. 4, 5, 8, 9, 12, 13, 14, 15
Townsville R7 nos. 5, 7, 8, 9, 10, 13, 14, 15.
Townsville R8 nos. 2, 3, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16
Dombeen R5 nos. 2, 4, 7, 8, 10, 12, 14, 15
Dombeen R6 nos. 2, 5, 6, 8, 13, 14, 15, 16, 18
Dombeen R8 nos. 1, 3, 7, 10, 14, 15, 17, 20.

Total outlay of $57.

michaelg 25th July 2009 04:05 PM

Not the best of results.

5 winners from 8 races.
Outlay of $63
Return of $60.60 (NSW TAB)

I also backed them to Place which returned $64.30 - a very small win. I'll also monitor Place results.

Bhagwan 25th July 2009 11:09 PM

Well done Michael and thanks for sharing your findings.

Cheers

michaelg 26th July 2009 07:02 AM

I'll continue to bet and record both methods:

1) Inside barriers for 12 to 14 runners. No odds-on races.
2) Outside barriers for 15-plus runners. No odds-on races.

After a few days I'll post back here with the results.

thorns 3rd August 2009 05:13 AM

Hey Michaelg,
Any update to this thread? Did the results continue as earlier posted, or did it have a case of the forum curse?

I guess if we never hear from you again it means you have found the holy grail :)


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