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-   -   Does everyone have an opinion? (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=19447)

Gnarkley 15th October 2009 01:40 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gnarkley
Thanks Twoshoes,
That is some of the most helpful advice I've received since I started asking questions.
At the moment in Melbourne on Saturdays I have a 60% strke with over 50% P.O.T.
This seems to be profitable but the bets need to be large if I want to make it an earner.

Sorry Twoshoes,
That P.O.T. should have read 40%
Still reasonable ?

TheSchmile 15th October 2009 02:11 PM

Sorry Twoshoes,
That P.O.T. should have read 40%
Still reasonable?


Absolutely reasonable!!

That's great going!

Are you using Betfair and other bookies? Perhaps you could increase POT there, as well as using a very conservative staking plan.

I would definitely be doing doubles as P.O.T. would increase and your strike rate would stay solid at around 30%

Two questions:

1. How long have you maintained your strike rate?

2. How many bets per week?

Two Shoes

Gnarkley 15th October 2009 02:41 PM

Twoshoes,
I've only been using UniTab. I know I would be better off elsewhere but I only started looking at it seriously 8 weeks ago. In that time I've made 33 selections for 20 wins.
I thought about doubles but I'm pretty new to this and thought I'd be better off just trying to nail this first.

luv2bet 15th October 2009 07:04 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Twoshoes
Gnarkley, you're on fire!!

Any professional punter would be ecstatic with that POT!!

Sounds like you have found a good way of approaching the form!

I always like to know that a horse has at least run at the distance and if very short, at the track as well. The horse I mentioned earlier, Cornwall Park is running on Saturday. It has won 3 times at 1350 at Doomben, but never raced at Eagle Farm. I'm a little wary, so will watch until I see that he can run at Eagle Farm, or will have a smaller wager, if I can secure a decent price, which is very unlikely given its outstanding form.

Hi Mike,

Thanks for the feedback. I'm reasonably new to this forum and am hoping to develop some winning ideas through constructive analysis.

Have a great day and let's BACK SOME WINNERS!!!

Two Shoes



not having a go mate, but isnt it a little contradicting when in your earlier post you stated you had a sizeable bet on definately ready when it had never been to caulfield before, yet your saying here your happy to watch cornwall park go round without you, until you see it perform at eagle farm???

luv2bet 15th October 2009 07:07 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Gnarkley
Twoshoes,
I've only been using UniTab. I know I would be better off elsewhere but I only started looking at it seriously 8 weeks ago. In that time I've made 33 selections for 20 wins.
I thought about doubles but I'm pretty new to this and thought I'd be better off just trying to nail this first.


You are a superstar!!!
whats the average win divvie?

Keep those figures up your laughing!!

Gnarkley 15th October 2009 07:45 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by luv2bet
You are a superstar!!!
whats the average win divvie?

Keep those figures up your laughing!!
Only $2.30 I'm afraid

TheSchmile 15th October 2009 10:40 PM

Quote:
not having a go mate, but isnt it a little contradicting when in your earlier post you stated you had a sizeable bet on definately ready when it had never been to caulfield before, yet your saying here your happy to watch cornwall park go round without you, until you see it perform at eagle farm???


Fair play Luv2bet,

Nothing's ever simple in the racing game is it?

I backed Definitely Ready because it had run a race record at Sandown at its second start after being checked. This puts it into another league.

I don't prescribe to have all the answers but I figure this one (Definitely Ready) will just keep winning. If you saw my post before the race I put up the last 600m which was 32.64, again SENSATIONAL. The opposition was pretty awful as well. I also couldn't believe the time it ran at its first start in Adelaide.

Cornwall Park has good numbers on the board but nothing like that, so that's why I'm a bit wary. Ever since Chief De Beers, I've always been wary of the Doomben/Eagle farm thing.

I hope this helps to delve into my psyche a little further Luv2bet, I guess the beauty of form analysis is that nothing is cut and dried, that's why I love it!
Every race is a new conumdrum. We all carry different scars, for instance, I should have forgiven Here De Angels on Wednesday, I saw it in the mounting yard looking so relaxed and on form it should have won, but I couldn't forgive it for previous indiscretions. History says it bolts in at a very backable price.

Cest la vie

Two Shoes

TheSchmile 15th October 2009 10:49 PM

Quote:
Twoshoes,
I've only been using UniTab.
Gnarkley,

Get on the Betfair train. Or at least grab the best of 3 states from Sportsbet. This will add a bit more spice to your divvies. You do have to bet just before the race with Betfair though, or else get one of the bots which I haven't progressed to yet.

8 weeks in your doing mighty fine!! Keep it up and you'll have just over 200 bets for the year. With your strike rate you could be betting 3-4% of your bank each time and make a very tidy profit throughout the year without stressing out too much.

Best of luck Gnarkley, I like your style.

Two Shoes


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