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thorns 9th November 2009 08:54 AM

Just been reading this thread here, http://www.propun.com.au/racing_for...ead.php?t=18693 , about how many favs get rolled in group 1's in Melbourne. Could someone run that through the database, ie the strike rate and profit/loss of favs in group 1's in Melb, and also group 1's from across teh country?

Going by the results in that thread, they appear to be a pretty god lay proposition?

Stix 9th November 2009 12:11 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by thorns
Just been reading this thread here, http://www.propun.com.au/racing_for...ead.php?t=18693 , about how many favs get rolled in group 1's in Melbourne. Could someone run that through the database, ie the strike rate and profit/loss of favs in group 1's in Melb, and also group 1's from across teh country?

Going by the results in that thread, they appear to be a pretty god lay proposition?
Like any races, would imagine betting Fav's hit at low 30% and LOT around 12%....ish.

Chrome Prince 9th November 2009 02:01 PM

It's amazing that what appears to be the case, is not always.

Victorian G1's
32.38% S/R
9.26% LOT

All G1's
33.01% S/R
5.30% LOT

Victorian G1 Favourites last start winners
37.50% S/R
3.46% POT

Victorian G1 Favourites last start 2nd
25.00% S/R
24.55% LOT

Victorian G1 Favourites last start 3rd
24.00% S/R
30.80% LOT

Victorian G1 Favourites last start unplaced
28.21% S/R
22.56% LOT

All Group races, Favourites, last start winners
35.08% S/R
10.41% LOT

All Group races, Favourites, last start winner of a G1
41.21% S/R
11.61% LOT

*Figures do not include the 2009 Spring Carnival.

Try Try Again 9th November 2009 02:47 PM

Hi Chrome Prince,

Interesting results. Over what period are they from?

Chrome Prince 9th November 2009 03:56 PM

Jan 2000 to Sep 2009 inclusive.


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