Haven't looked at Betdaq for years, there never seemed to be any money there. I'm surprised that none of the TAB's has jumped on the PC or even started their own exchange.


Let's stick with number 5 today, it worked yesterday.

Place2win, thanks for the analysis.

However, I've lost interest in at for the time being because there is not much action. If I do look at it again I'll apply your filters.

Mark, I've had a look at laying number 5 but according to Unitab starting prices for the past week or so it doesn't seem too promising. Maybe I just looked at the wrong days/races.

Thorn's no.1 method is still steaming along - 37 successes from 41 selections for a profit of 29.20 units.

Where do i find Thorns method?

Michael, you know I was joking, however I'm sure that laying any number would show a long term profit. Your 1 week was not promising, my one day was 100%, neither are large enough samples. Just for today I'll post results of laying 1-2-3-4-5 @ 8 or less. Yes, Thorns number 1 is flying.

Mark, I think applying filters to numbers would even be better. I've generally found that no.2 should not be layed especially on Saturdays. Maybe a filter regarding its weight..?

Coochiemudlo, Thorn's Laying selection method is:

1) No.1
2) Maximum of 12 runners.
3) Placed last start.
4) Now starting from barriers 1-3.

The rules are illogical but Thorn has Wed and Sat results for the past few years which shows the method is in profit for both days. I've been laying the method every day since Tues 11 Nov with success.

Thanks Michaelg. Sounds interesting

I apply a max Lay price of $9.80. There have been 9 selections above that price - they've all lost but I don't include them in the results.

There are four selections today:
Eagle Farm R3 no.1 - won for a loss of $1.80 units.
Balaklava R3 - success.
Balaklava R7 - success.
Eagle Farm R8.

After three races I am 0.10 units in front. It doesn't look like I'll get the required $9.80 on E.Farm R8 as no.1 is $13 in the pre-post market.

Michael

Why $9.80 specifically?

When I have any interest in a Lay system I generally look at Unitab prices to see how it would have gone over a certain period. I find it convenient to just look at single-figure prices, also any accident over that in my opinion is too damaging. As you know, Maria's cut-off price is/was $11, I prefer $9.80.

Laying random numbers today (rough results, some from exact BF prices & some guesses)

1- 10/12 +6.3
2- 6/11 -7.9
3- 7/7 +7
4- 9/11 +2.1
5- 7/7 +7
9- 3/5 -6.5

total 1-5 39/48 +14.5

Thorns system I lost 1.20, won .95, won .95, for +.7.