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-   -   Longshot method that has some merit have a play around (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=19700)

darkydog2002 24th January 2010 04:21 PM

Hey Alf I never bet a horse up IN CLASS OR DOESNT RACE ON THE PACE

Backmarkers have too much against them (trapped wide/interference from other horses etc

Her,s an idea for BET TO LOSE (betfair)

1000 -1100

FAV

MUST BE BACKMARKER

RIDDEN BY A 2-3 Claiming APPTC

Cheers.
darky

ps Sent you a letter text me your phone and I will give you a ring.Ive got heaps of dough.

ubetido 25th January 2010 05:13 PM

Hi all

Monday Nowra race 4 number 6 1st $20.20

cheers
ubetido

ubetido 26th January 2010 05:37 PM

Hi all

Darwin race 1 number 7 1st $22.20

cheers
ubetido

ubetido 29th January 2010 12:21 AM

Hi all

27/01/2010
Wyong race 6 no. 6 1st 8.00 win (came in)
Geelong race 4 no. 11 1st 9.90 win (came in)
Geelong race 8 no. 9 1st 9.70

28/01/2010
Geraldton race 2 no. 11 1st 62.00 win

cheers
ubetido

Bhagwan 29th January 2010 06:09 AM

Here's a recovery staking plan that could be used to support this approach.

It does well work on paper .
Its the human element that may let it down.

The idea is to bet in sets of 10 , going up the ladder, win , lose or draw, until fully recovered, then start again at the beginning.

1x10
2x10
3x10
4x10
5x10
6x10
7x10
8x10
9x10
10x10
11x10
12x10

Start again once losses fully recovered.
Start again if 12x20 is struck.

Cost $780.

Good for 120 bets.

Combined odds of approx 65/1 needed to break even on the last few bets as opposed to 119/1 at level stakes.

We only need the half the odds required at level stakes, to break even.

Bhagwan 29th January 2010 06:11 AM

That's meant to read 12x10 not 12x20

ubetido 29th January 2010 09:10 PM

Hi all

29/1/2010
Goulbourn race 4 no.5 1st $10.60
Armidale race 2 no.11 1st $19.50

Thanks Bhagwan

Cheers
ubetido

ubetido 4th April 2010 02:57 AM

Hi all

This has been doing well. If anyone has been looking, it has paid some good divs for you.

Cheers
Ubetido

Try Try Again 5th April 2010 09:13 AM

Hi Ubetido,

Interesting concept - "thinking outside the square!"

Which source do you use at the "2 minute mark"? Unitab? Supertab? Other?

Regards

Try Try Again

ubetido 6th April 2010 11:31 AM

Hi TTA

Thanks for your reply i use UNITAB only at this stage to view the odds.

cheers
Ubetido


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