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Rock Kingdom won it last year did it not with Rangi 2nd on heavy conditions? If that was the Doncaster, I remember that was the first time I have won $50 on here and because it was my first deposit, Sportsbet matched it so I had $100 to spend. I chucked it all on Road to Rock before his run before the Doncaster at $43 and I still reckon if the track was dry he would have won. Came charging down the outside on a day where many didn't make up ground. |
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nah, that was the epsom you're thinking of. Vision and Power won the donnie last year |
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Ahh true thankyou. Walking or Dancing has been scratched due to a stone bruise. Recoup De Fortune in. |
Walking or Dancing is an early scratching
1st emergency Recoup De Fortune will now get a run |
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Been reported that Gai is taking this matter to the Supreme Court. Being heard tomorrow. |
If i was Waller i'd let him go and book Beadman who i think would suit Rangi better . I think the rougher you are with Rangi the more he flattens out , Nash is tough on them and his style does suit the warhorse Theseo so i can see why Gai really wants him.
I cant have Black Piranha or Vision and Power in this unless theres alot of rain about both i think have been flattered by suitable conditions and are probably a length or two off some of these. I liked the way Danleigh moved into the race earlier than usual last start and then pounced , This will give him a slight advantage over palacio who will be saved for one final weaving sprint through the pack. I had my doubts Danliegh over a tough mile but he was super strong last start. |
Hi guys
I was analysing this race from a time prespective and found some outsiders who could well be in the mix to the line on sat. Last year this race was won in 1.36.66 on a Dead track. Brilliant Light ran this distace at randwick last weekend on a dead track in 1.35.7 and is 5kg lighted this run!!! Tobique has run 1600 in 1.36.89 on a slow track at randwick 2kg heavier than tis run...could we assume that he would run this distance on a dead tack in1.5 - 2 seconds quicker..say a 1.35?? Wall street ran a 1.33.86 on a good going in NZ carring 2kg more than this trip and has won 7 time over this distance....can we use this time as a relevant measure against the randwick circuit?? Typhoon tracy'sbest time over this distance is a 1.34.42 at caulfield on a good track...is it prudent to say this time would have been near a 1.36 on a dead track?? just wondering what your thoughts are on these time and how relevant you guys think they are. From a time prespective it looks like brilliant light, tobique and wall street would be right in the mix! cheers |
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The times are different on every course. You are better off comparing the time to the track record for that particular kind of surface IMO. |
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gai has lost the supreme court battle..nash rawiller will ride rangirangdoo..darren beadman will ride theseo.. |
Looks a tough race , my speed map has Palacio having to have an awful amount of luck to win this , she'll be behind alot of horse going backwards here and i'm not that confident in Wells to pull it off. Will be a ******** of a win .
Rangi gets the good drop on these leaders, Danliegh will have to go wide and that will eat up some lengths and i worry about that last 50m. Thought Triple Honour the best roughie , he gets the gun run and his last run wasnt all that bad , Road to rock gets a good run also . TT and Theseo will give a good sight but both will be hampered i think by Recoup defortune ,,still both are to good to leave out of the exotics. I'll be having something e/w on the roughie Triple Honour but mainly focusing on the exotics with the ones mentioned. |
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