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-   -   The 7% plan (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=20241)

TheSchmile 3rd June 2010 12:55 PM

Hi Try Try again,

I'm using prices on ************** in the morning as a guide. They are a VERY rough guide!

I don't use bots and the like.

This is simply a trial system and I'm not putting money down.

I'm checking results on the Betfair racing zone website regarding starting prices.

http://racing.betfair.com.au/

Regarding:
Quote:
Morphettville Race 4#8 as $5.10 but SP was only $3.80 and therefore not a qualifier.

$5.10 was the available lay price on betfair so it was a qualifier.

Hope this helps. If you have any suggestions as to how to streamline the selection process, that would be fantastic!

Cheers,

The Schmile

TheSchmile 3rd June 2010 01:01 PM

03/06/10 limited selections
 
Hi everyone,

I'm strapped for time and don't have a database to grab selections, so apologies on missing a few meetings again today.

I'm hoping we'll be able to get a rough guide over the month if this method is worth pursuing in the long term.

I am also building up a spreadsheet of jockeys with below par strike rates and will be happy to share this at the end of the month.

To reiterate my comments to Try Try Again, I'm not currently betting on this system, just testing it.

Selections:

Northam - L Robertson, J Hill, L Camilleri, Staples, Parnham

R1 - 5, 10
R2 - 8
R3 - 2, 3
R4 - 3
R6 - 1
R7 - 4,5
R8 - 2

Gosford - Banks

R2 - 6
R4 - 1

Bendigo - Robertson

R3 - 1
R5 - 4
R5 - 2

Have a beautiful day.

The Schmile

TheSchmile 3rd June 2010 09:34 PM

Results:

Northam - L Robertson, J Hill, L Camilleri, Staples, Parnham

R1 - 5 unpl $40, 10 (won $5.60)
R2 - 8 unpl $48
R3 - 2 unpl $60, 3 unpl $60
R4 - 3 2nd $7
R6 - 1 unpl $12.50
R7 - 3 unpl $40 ,4 3rd $11 note:original selection of 5 incorrect
R8 - 2 3rd $6.60

Gosford - Banks

R2 - 6 unpl $18.50
R4 - 1 unpl $14

Bendigo - Robertson

R3 - 1 3rd $40
R5 - 4 note: mistake as Zahra was riding
R5 - 2 unpl $18.50

P/L - 1.60

Overall P/L + 2.4

It's hard to believe the actual starting prices as compared to the ************** (w2b) market. All the horses were under $11 on the prepost ************** market with Race 6 no.1 at Northam quoted at $2.50 and starting at $12.50 on Betfair.

I'll have to find a better guide.

The Schmile

TheSchmile 3rd June 2010 11:51 PM

Selections 04/06/10
 
Echuca - Robertson, S Hunter, S Rawiller, Michael Fitzgerald,

R1 - 1, 5, 7, 9
R2 - 4
R3 - 2
R5 - 14
R6 - 3,4
R7 - 3
R8 - 6

Ipswich - Clasohm

R3 - 7

TheSchmile 5th June 2010 11:40 AM

No bets today as I'm focusing on finding winners.

Will post yesterday's results tonight.

TheSchmile 6th June 2010 06:15 PM

Apologies for the late results.

Results 04/06/10

Echuca - Robertson, S Hunter, S Rawiller, Michael Fitzgerald,
R1 - 1 (unpl $9), 5 (WON $19 no bet too long) , 7 (unpl $6.40), 9 (4th $17)
R2 - 4 (unpl $15)
R3 - 2 Scr
R5 - 14 Scr
R6 - 3 (unpl $16),4 (unpl $27)
R7 - 3 (unpl $5.40)
R8 - 6 (unpl $40)

Ipswich - Clasohm

R3 - 7 (unpl $50)

Only 3 qualifiers for 3 wins. It pays to have the cut off point as it would have been nasty with the no.5 in the 1st at Echuca saluting at around the $19 betfair.

Overall P/L + 5.4

Bhagwan 7th June 2010 02:55 AM

I find races 1200m+ best to target because with the shorter sprint races , anything can fluke a win , especially 1000m events.

I think you will find an improvement in ones figures, just deleting 1000m races.

TheSchmile 7th June 2010 09:58 AM

Thanks for the tip Bhagwan!

I'll note the 1000m races from now on.

TheSchmile 7th June 2010 10:54 AM

07/06/10 Selections
 
Taree - Schubert, Knight, Romeo, Gibbons, Weiszbach, Ms J Riley, Singh,

R4 - 2, 4
R5 - 4, 10
R6 - 2, 6
R7 - 4
R8 - 4

Seymour - Fitzgerald, Dale Smith, Holland, Beriman, McGill, C Robertson, Fry, Cassar, Alesci, Culliver, Malouf, Barry,

R3 - 1, 3
R4 - 6, 7
R5 - 2, 11
R6 - 7
R7 - 8, 9
R8 - 2, 5, 11
R9 - 8

TheSchmile 7th June 2010 09:04 PM

Results 07/06/10
 
Taree - Schubert, Knight, Romeo, Gibbons, Weiszbach, Ms J Riley, Singh,

R4 - 2 unpl $25, 4 unpl $9.40
R5 - 4 unpl $10.50, 10 unpl $21
R6 - 2 (WON $10) , 6 2nd $6.80
R7 - 4 unpl $8
R8 - 4 2nd $24

Seymour - Fitzgerald, Dale Smith, Holland, Beriman, McGill, C Robertson, Fry, Cassar, Alesci, Culliver, Malouf, Barry,

R3 - 1 unpl $21, 3 unpl $48
R4 - 6 unpl $14.50, 7 unpl $13
R5 - 2 unpl $8, 11 unpl $19
R6 - 7 unpl $27
R7 - 8 unpl $90, 9 unpl $30
R8 - 2 2nd $8.20, 5 unpl $18.50, 11 unpl $12
R9 - 8 unpl $8.20

P/L -2

Overal P/L +3.4

The Schmile


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