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-   -   Testing Lay System (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=20670)

michaelg 28th October 2010 08:33 PM

Thanks, wesmip1.

Its certainly something to look at.

wesmip1 30th October 2010 01:47 PM

There were 2 selections yesterady under $10:

ALITTLEVOLCANIC 2nd
ARCLACE 8th

wesmip1 30th October 2010 05:53 PM

todays only selection was JUSTA BUSTA. Came 4th.

Raven 30th October 2010 07:03 PM

I just had a brief look at the 12m ratings at Doomben. Looking for lay opportunities, I feel we should only look at horses whose 12m rating is at least 4 kg below the best in the race & ranked outside the top 4.

Why 4kg? Mark Reads old adage that 2.25 lengths equals a 'grade', so 3.5kg roughly equals a grade when considering the class & weight ratings.

I was looking at horses that you could lay at less than $20. I found 13 in Brissy for 1 winner around the $5 mark, so a profit today. In race 7 at Syd there was Domitian, Godfather & Verminator, all unplaced.

Another filter might be needed. As for price, I dont mind laying at $20-$30 just so long as your not offering a premium over the TABs. Someone suggested that you multiply Tab price by 1.2 & if you cant lay at that price or less, move on. Thats the sort of rule i will incorporate.

I cant get fussed with the neurals though.


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