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moeee 12th March 2011 05:25 PM

WARRNAMBOOL Race 8
 
6 SELYNYA SURPRISE $3.7
8 GALBA JACK $5.7
5 NEWMAN'S COUNTY $6.3
1 BIT FAMOUS $7.8
3 DOC'S DISCIPLE $10
4 BAHAMA BEAUTY $12
2 OUR MATE HENRY $20
7 MR. BUNDY BEAR $25

#8 GALBA JACK is not suited out wide.
He cuts in hard and will smack into the runners inside him.
I'm expecting #6 SELENYA SURPRISE to begin slow and should miss the trouble and go around and win comfortably.
My Wager is $8 a Win.

moeee 12th March 2011 05:30 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by woof43
Moeee thought you may like to read Darrens comments re tonight
Darren said
And specifically Race 8.


Thanks Woof43, but I do have access to read posts on that that website, and read both , his, and your comments on the Race.

I have yet to rate the Race, but my early thoughts are , it will lead, and get run down, and probably miss a place again :(

woof43 12th March 2011 07:14 PM

Meadows Race 5
 
Box 1st Split Rating
1 $126.58
2 $3.01
3 $3.30
4 $112.36
5 $14.28
6 $29.03
7 $4.59
8 $39.14
I'm tending to think the #7 is way to short in this race, with the #2 & #3 probably leading, this is going to make it doubly hard for this dog, #3 has the better 2nd sectionals, so you need to include in exotics. I'm leaning to more the dogs able to come from behind will win this event, like the #4, #1 & #5 all will be nice odds and lay the #7

woof43 12th March 2011 07:23 PM

Race 6
 
Winning Style Box 1st Split Rating
FR 1 $4.09
FR 2 $4.31
BR 3 $1,333.33
FR 4 $11.12
FR 5 $10.01
BR 6 $25.25
FR 7 $8.03
FR 8 $5.93
6 dogs that need to either race 1-2 to win in this race , again the early fav. #2 has to be real suspect in this with such solid early pace, it steps moderately then drives, last week it had 2 dogs drawn under who were lucky to break 5.20 , this enabled it to drive thru and reach the rails, tonight its going to be pressured. Check it's last start at Ballarat against the tonight's #7.
The 2 dogs who win from behind just don't have the 2nd sectionals to beat the On pace runners.

moeee 12th March 2011 07:47 PM

RACE 6
 
2 DYNA TRON $4.3
7 ALLEN LENNOX $5
3 HELLA GOOD $6.1
8 WHERE'S DEMONICA $6.2
4 DARYA BALE $10
1 DON CHENDO $16
6 PURE STEALTH $20
5 PARAMOUNT DIVA $30

Poor betting Race.
But I will box the top 4 selections in a Trifecta for $3 worth.
And because Hella Good will be Huge Odds, I'll have something on it as well.

Oaksnaf 14th March 2011 10:44 AM

Bendigo

Race 1

#6 Serious Token to lead all the way. Will need to cross the field to find the rails, but there isn't much pace inside so this shouldn't a problem.

#2 Big Wheels is the main danger, could hold the rails and if so will be too strong in the finish.

#4 Flynny Dance awkwardly drawn with the pacier #6 cutting across and #2 potentially holding the rails. May find a squeeze early. But is better than most in this field and is a must for mutliples.

#5 Dreamy Jake look out for in the finish as will be running by a few of these in the home straight. May find a perfect slot at the start of the race just off the rails outside #1.

#7 Jacogen the one to add value in the exotics. If the #4 finds trouble with #3,5 early on, Jacogen will get a perfect run into the race. Only small bets for multiples.

#8 Pryenees Gambler has shown nothing to date when racing in a full field. Does draw well today and will benefit for that. One for F4s.


Will be taking various forms of combinations in the trifecta and first 4.

6-2,4-2,4 $10
6-2,4,-5 $6
6-2,4-7,8 $4
6-5-2,4 $4
6-7,8-2,4 $4
6-5,7,8-5,7,8 $3
2,4-6-2,4 $8
2,4-6-5 $4
2,4-6-7,8 $4
2,4-5-6 $2
5,7,8-6-2,4 $2


6-2,4-2,4-1,5,7,8 $8
6-2,4-1,5,7,8-1,2,4,5,7,8 $8
6-5-2,4-1,2,4,7,8 $8
2,4-6-2,4,5,7,8-1,2,4,5,7,8 $8

$83

moeee 14th March 2011 11:07 AM

WOW!!!
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Oaksnaf
Bendigo

Race 1

$83


I notice a MASSIVE increase in the suggested Wager amounts , and perhaps also the number of combinations over your previous suggestions , some months back.
Is that because you are better off financially, more confident on your methods, or just using pretend money, or some other reason?

Oaksnaf 14th March 2011 11:12 AM

Ive been observing the style of thinking that woof has been posting. And after a lot of consideration in terms of the data that I was collecting I found that in these type of races I am better to be having less races to bet on, but the ones that I do bet on. Cover the combinations that I feel are possible.

moeee 14th March 2011 11:21 AM

Yes I guess that will work for you, you not being a gamblerholic inasmuch, you can survive not betting in every race.

I had a FlexiTri bet in your Race , using a mix of your selections and the Publics selections, but only managed the winner.

Are you doing any more Bendigo Races?
I am passing the Meeting and will start with Race 6 at Cranbourne.

I have had a very ordinary past couple of weeks, where I was very confident in my Ratings, yet bombed badly.

Woof43 has a method where he modifies his suggestions based on what the Public are doing.
There is considerable merit in that idea, because secret information that is only available to a select few is often indicated in the Market.

My problem is the unwillingless to let go of the idea that My Thoughts on a Race , are anything other than the Correct Ones.

But as My Bank is telling me, I actually know jack :(

moeee 14th March 2011 12:32 PM

CRANBOURNE Race 6
 
8 BUREAUCRAT $3.9
7 DAINTREE LOVER $4.3
6 LED ZEPPELIN $6
5 COOPER BALE $7
2 BESTEARS $8
4 ARVO'S FLORENCE $12
3 STANHILL MACCA $100

Trifectas
8,7 - 8,7,6,5 - 8,7,6,5,2 for $4 worth


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