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woof43 19th March 2011 04:37 PM

Race 3 Meadows
 
Box 1st Split Rating
1 $5.86
2 $7.00
3 $5.99
4 $8.59
5 $15.17
6 $11.68
7 $6.07
8 $11.53
Their even out of the boxes, #1 is poorly drawn, #8 is poorly drawn #3 wants off the track I feel #6 & #7 want to push to the rails. To me the #2 would be odds on in this event other than being drawn outside the #1.

woof43 19th March 2011 04:48 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
I've managed a bit of a fightback from where I lost over $400 in the last few months after winning it the few months before.
I have won half of it back, but more importantly, have settled into the groove of good handicapping, with some pretty good wagering lately.


You may have been caught up in the distractions elsewhere, but at least you learn,t a lesson of sorts, as we all do when things go to pieces.

Notice the fixed price of southwood barge looks like a dog to lay notice you had it at long odds too

moeee 19th March 2011 06:02 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by woof43
Notice the fixed price of southwood barge looks like a dog to lay notice you had it at long odds too


I simply eliminated the Healesville Form.
But that still left a few Excellent wins at Ballarat over the 450m.
What concerns me the most is that it has had numerous runs, yet hasn't tackled the City Tracks.
You would think if it were good enough, it would have ran by now.

If I had the willpower, this Race would be a look and learn event only.

moeee 19th March 2011 06:30 PM

The MEADOWS Race 6
 
2 MALTA $2.7
1 DAINTREE LOVER $5.6
8 OKIE BALE $7.7
7 FENNEL BALE $8.5
5 SAND BURNER $10
3 BEE GEE MAC $12
4 TIGER'S REBEL $33

moeee 19th March 2011 07:39 PM

MEADOWS Race 7
 
7 HELLA GOOD $2.7
8 WEEKEND RUSH $5
6 SEE YOU LATTE $5.6
1 FANTASY PHOENIX $10
2 LEKTRA BOB $14
5 ENEVER $20
3 IN THE MONEY $33

woof43 19th March 2011 07:39 PM

Race 7 Meadows
 
Winning Style Box 1st Split Rating
FR 1 $3.80
FR 2 $2.67
FR 3 $70.72

BR 5 $68.77
FR 6 $4.85
BR 7 $63.94
FR 8 $8.97
This is a race of many scenarios, the 4 leaders have to be in the box seat to really do any good.
So that raises a number of scenarios,
Scenario A) if the #1 holds the lead to the first, it would be expected then the #2 has missed the start or not interfered with the #1, if that happens I would think there is only 1 other dog to run it down and that is the #7 and both #6 & #8 have been hung out to dry.
Scenario B) If the #6 leads both the inside dogs are gone, again this leads way for the #7 to have a last crack at the leader and #8 again is hung out to dry.
Scenario C) If #8 cuts across the 7 & #6 at the start, leaves the #1 you would expect to be leading with the #2 and the #5 will have a crack at both of them down the centre of the track.
I feel the early fixed odds of 3.00 the #6 is too short, and the others are quite reasonable


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