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-   -   How to get into the top 3% of punters (winners) (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=21309)

Shaun 2nd April 2011 06:16 PM

If you want to bet your top 4 selections add 1 and back your top 4 if you can get better than $5, or top 2 selections would be better than $3

TheSchmile 2nd April 2011 06:16 PM

Just saw the result of WA race 6.

Ummmm.....maybe keep Mekong Miss no. 9..... ha ha

Won at $58.80 best tote.

Nice selections axledog!!!!!

The Schmile

axledog 2nd April 2011 09:56 PM

I most certainly agree now that luck in running does have an element in our quest to get the upper hand on our rival punters. However , to obtain that luck ,you must have some base as to how you want to achieve this. For instance , in my Q+F system , the basic rules are mainly course and distance stats and Darky has swayed me into the place % factor. I was breaking even and/or a slight loss/profit on my 6 sub-systems by backing only the one selection while seeing the other contenders that where close but eliminated due to one rule saluting at large odds. So i have been working on taking 4-5 selections and either dutch or level staking them. The last two weeks havent worked out so bad , so when i seen this thread i thought id post a few up.

SR 6 # 2 Rangirandoo
Simple , 90% place strike rate - Top average prizemoney - Taking on a mare at WFA and a champion to boot!!!
Salutes......$14.10

WA 6 # 9 Mekong Miss
Simple , 13 starts at Ascot for 6 wins. Every second time this mare hits the track she crosses the line in front.
Salutes......$58.80

Great profit today (+56.90 units) , anyone can be in that top 3% if they do a little homework first and then ride their LUCK!

Thanks guys with all your help , will give me some incentive to pursue more!!!

axledog 16th April 2011 11:11 AM

I had another good day last weekend using this (hurtle myrtle - Tip a winner 9th april) and profited 12.8 units (total 69.7) just thought id post as a matter of interest this weeks selections.
SR 5 - 2 . 3 . 4
SR 8 - 7 . 8 . 11
BR 7 - 3 . 8 . 10 . 16 . 17
AR 5 - 2 . 8 . 9 . 14
AR 7 - 9 . 12 . 16
(all level staked - 18 units out)

axledog 16th April 2011 02:48 PM

After 2 races and the scratching of Buccellati in Sydney , Echoes of heaven salutes in race 5 Adelaide (#9). 17 units out , a return of 16.2 , so three races now to make a profit.

max 16th April 2011 04:47 PM

Axle, are your selections in an order?

How have they fared for Quins and Trifs?

axledog 18th April 2011 08:49 PM

Thanks Max .

Mate never thought about it , will do now and post results shortly.
After another scratching on saturday and alas no more
wins after the echoe , still took profit. (0.2 only - but profit non the less)

axledog 18th April 2011 09:14 PM

Max ,

please remember , ive only thrown this around for
the last three weeks , and , even though im searching for the
longer priced horses , ive hit only one a week. Prices have been good , but
profit = 70 odd units and one winner Meekong Miss payed 58's.
This will probably only ever be a little fun.
In the reply to your question , i learnt something myself. In races evaluated with 4-5 runners we have 9 races -
only 2 quinellas - $14.70 and $257.90
only 1 trifecta - $6733.50

hmmm.......

Thinking again , do i persist or not.(Backing level stakes only , maybe better
going wider)

max 18th April 2011 09:38 PM

You are so close. There must be a way to refine these into a couple of selections that are the better choices?

axledog 7th May 2011 09:14 AM

Just 4 fun
 
Gold Coast

Race 4 - #1-3-4-7-10
Race 5 - #6-7-10-14-15
Race 6 - #4-7-8-10-13
Race 7 - #2-3-6-7
Race 8 - #1-7-11-12-18

Canterbury

Race 6 - #2-3-9-11


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