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Unfortunately, not much value around on Saturday, red.
Race 1 - Laetare defied a weight turnaround to defeat Outfitter for the second time – both runs good. Race 2 – As you predicted red, not much early speed, leaving Toy Prince to sit just off the pace, taking the lead coming around the turn. Nice win at nice overs (6/1). Both Main Stage & Jugahtrice running on but giving the winner too big a start. Race 3 – Good early speed set it up for the placegetters. Thought the run of Sarah’s Spirit not bad. Only having 2nd start, used up a bit early to get to the lead from a wide barrier, fought on pretty well. Race 4 – Metal As Anything ran on well to win easily, Regal Raider did find the 1400m too far - finished at the tail. Was also well under true odds. Race 5 – Inclusion of Island Light & Ebony Magic (speed on) did enhance the chances of the eventual placegetters. Ebony Magic was well under true odds. Fred Who should have won, but for hanging out briefly during his final run. Went down by a nose. Race 6 – Metal Maiden continues to improve. Grinding run by Twilight Spy. Very good run by both Miss Torpago & Hide The Halo. Forget National Silk’s run, in trouble early (again), after missing the start! Lulugui racing well below best at the moment. Race 7 – Very impressed with Coordinate’s run. Was one of my better bets on the card. Ran on strongly to win easily. Very versatile, lead all the way previous start to win over the same course & distance. Fortune Streak was big unders, and raced accordingly. Jock lost the irons on Polish Pleasure. Race 8 – As predicted red, Family Dreams was perfectly placed. Won well but no fancy odds. Good to see Zabaset showing some old form. Good run by the 3yo Femme. Cougar Roar still to find better form, racing lengths below best at last two starts, albeit after a break of some 12 months. Blinkers on Big Marcus - looks like it backfired, missing the start didn't help. _________________ All the best from the West Sandgroper :smile: [ This Message was edited by: Sandgroper on 2003-01-14 10:09 ] |
I see the bubble has burst for Frank The Bank - going down by a neck at 4/7 at Ascot yesterday :eek:
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Not a huge surprise Paddy.
Rated Warning Tune as the only real danger to Frank The Bank, and only 0.75len behind that horse. Warning Tune ran up to his best and Frank The Bank ran a bit below his best – end result, Warning Tune finished in front. And believe me they didn’t forget to back Warning Tune! _________________ All the best from the West Sandgroper :smile: [ This Message was edited by: Sandgroper on 2003-01-16 12:20 ] |
Hi all, a brief look at a few races at Ascot.
R2 is an interesting race with a few racing over the distance for the 1st time. Quasarock will lead. Run down by a good horse last start over shorter trip. Field Commander 1stup, distance looks to suit. Not sure where it'll settle from bar 11. Other 2 chances are DeadEyeDick(has been bit unlucky and well drawn) and Tshombie (still a maiden after 7 runs, not really a good bet but will win at odds one day flashing home). R3 Did Tikenushi select TwinCityGirl over his last start ride on winner Aunt Katie? Voltage Reign also firstup a chance and well drawn. But Femme will be deserved short priced favorite. Hasn't won since March but has found a race to get back in the winner's list. R5 If you had your wish and knew Royal Sonata would settle 1out/1back then it'd first home. Samurai Star to lead, maybe Zoloto on its back. Country Born improved last start. New one for stewards reports "Major Metal baulked at debris" last start. R6 interesting, Inzaghi flying, now up 2kg to new distance. Lead for sure without pressure. I'll back Money Is Magic to gun him down. Might settle a touch closer. Didn't have a clue how to assess Thunder Hawk. A couple of others with a chance. R7 D-Day for Poliwhirl. Punters got burnt last start, but I have him at around 3/1 so no certainty. Real Storm is backing up, Comeback Kid has the job ahead from a wide gate but on the up. R8 This may seem an ordinary race to non-Perth followers but its chock full of interest with lots of chances. Just cross out last start winner Rickitave. Blinkers go on Western Tycoon. Top day to all. |
Hi red and all, don’t mind the Perth races myself. Have been following closely for some 18 months, with good success. So here goes :roll: - let’s hope I don’t become another victim of the famous forum curse :wink:
R1: Magic Pass looks to have a slight edge over Air Pocket (the raced brigade) but will be watching for moves for any of the 1st starters as I think not a hard race to win first-up. R2: If Quasarock is left alone in front, will be very hard to run down. Agree with red that Field Commander can run a big race first-up. Both Bonnie Brae & T’Shombie will be running on at the business end. Risca Flight could surprise at odds with the addition of blinkers. R3: Agree with red – Femme does look the hardest to beat, with Twin City Girl (goes well fresh) the main danger. Voltage Reign also goes well fresh. Could still be a tricky race with a couple of horses with good country form & another couple with good trial form. Expect Scenic Vision to improve considerably on her first run. R4: I can see why you didn’t comment on this race red, what a lottery. For what it is worth my top 3 are Charming Story, Honami & King Elvis. R5: Do expect Royal Sonata to be the hardest to beat. However if either Zoloto or Samurai Star get their own way in front, will be extremely hard to run down. Also like Dashing Scene. R6: Doesn’t look like much opposition to take on Inzaghi for the lead, so must be the one to beat. Agree red that Money Is Magic good chance to run him down, if the race is run to suit. Also expect big runs from Paradiddle and Thunder Hawk. R7: Very open. Real Storm looks the best of the on-pace brigade. Poliwhirl a big danger. Value chances could be Rustic Hero, Launder and Near To Tod. R8: Another hard race. Expect the speed on with the likes of Eastern Standard & Rickitave in the race. Big plunge on Western Tycoon last start went astray. They need to get their money back! Cento goes well fresh, as do Heavy Nova & True And Correct. Beyond Dispute another with a chance but drawn wide. Decision To Go in fine form in the city, C’Mon Bluey in fine form in the country. Let’s hope you are all winning before you get to this race. |
Thanks red & El Gordo, you have certainly given me food for thought.
I have a liking for Thorny Rose in the lottery race (4) and also like Western Tycoon in the last (8). Good luck to you both my boyos. |
Had 2 good winners on the 18/1/03 thanks for your reply hope to hear more from you.
cheers mate the madman.. |
Courtesy of The West Australian website:
WA sprint star Hardrada is set to clash with the nation's elite three-year-olds in next month's $753,000 Cadbury Guineas (1600m) at Flemington. Leading Melbourne doubles bookmaker Michael Eskander has shown a healthy respect for Hardrada, placing him at $21 with Victorian stars Bel Esprit, Broadband, Titanic Jack and Lord Volksrad in his pre-post market. Eskander has Sydney sensation Thorn Park as outright favourite at $2.25. Trainer Lou Luciani flew Hardrada to Melbourne last week to prepare for the first stage of his challenge - the Flemington classic on February 15. Luciani spelled Hardrada after his fifth to Blevvo in the Fruit 'N' Veg Stakes (1800m) on December 7. FORMER Perth jockey Pat Carbery may rekindle his association with WA trainer Neville Parnham in Melbourne. Carbery was quick off the mark to chalk up his first Victorian winner - on even-money favourite Kelaman over 1300m at Stawell on Saturday. The Perth Cup and Railway Stakes-winning jockey began riding trackwork at Caulfield last Tuesday after fulfilling a life-long dream to break into the competitive Victorian riding ranks. Carbery built a close association with Parnham, WA's premier trainer, when he rode in Perth. Parnham is taking a squad of horses to Melbourne to launch an assault on the rich sprinkling of second-tier feature events on offer over the autumn carnival. Carbery was the regular rider of two of Parnham's expedition trio - Trimagic and La Trice Classic winner Fortune Streak. "There are plenty of races over there that cater to these horses," Parnham said. "Trimagic showed by her good form at Ascot and her sixth in the Fruit 'N' Veg last year, that she deserves a chance at racing in Melbourne." Parnham has short-course specialist Irish Pride already based in Melbourne. The horse is likely to have his first start in the $75,500 Hyderabad Race Club Stakes (1200m) at Caulfield on February 8. Trimagic will race in the $151,000 Vanity Stakes (1400m) at Flemington on February 9, followed by the $201,000 Armanasco Stakes (1600m) at Caulfield on February 22 and $251,000 Kewney Stakes (1600m) at Flemington 14 days later. Success in those races may earn the filly a start in the $505,000 Moonee Valley Oaks (2040m) on March 22. Fortune Streak would be aimed at lesser events such as the $100,000 Kilmore Cup (1600m). Parnham is also taking his son, Steven, to Melbourne. The apprentice is in line for a three-month stint with leading Victorian trainer Tony McEvoy. WA apprentice Mark Zahra is already signed to the McEvoy stable but is likely to be out for the next three weeks because of a broken collar-bone. |
Some selections for Pinjarra tomorrow Wed 22/1/03:
Race 5 – 1 Ovation, 5 Valouise & 3 Nitronian Race 6 – 1 Narcissism, 5 Kontiki Sir & 3 Truculent Race 7 – 4 Sapphire Star, 3 Hot Harmony & 5 Highlighted Race 8 – 1 Mr. Why Gee Bee, 3 Blue Nonna & 4 Confluence |
Hi El Gordo, I see your top selection in the 5th – Ovation has been scratched and is starting in race 7. Scratched from a class 2 race to start in a class 4 race – very interesting! Also see your top selection in the 6th meets the criteria of angel416’s top-weight system :wink:
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