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-   -   Malcolm Knowles - Consistency book (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=21444)

gunny72 1st May 2011 10:03 PM

Knowles' results use place % ranking and not absolute place percent. The top ranked horse could have just 30% places and still be his no. 1 selection for a race.

I agree that the top ranked horse nowadays shows about a 10% LOT but the top three ranked place % horses still produce close to 48% of Saturday winners and my records indicate this has been the case since 1992.

I think more punters are using these stats these days as once I could make a modest profit using the two longest priced starters (3 mins to go on the tab) of the top 3 ranked place% horses but not lately.

Barny 2nd May 2011 12:01 PM

gunny72, yup top ranked place % ..... wrong tram again for me !

Thanks for that !

Malcolm Knowles book put too much emphasis on the top ranked place % compared with the top ranked win %. Take the top TWO in both the win % and the place % and it's line ball. The figures seemed to cute for mine and it's interesting that things have changed as you said.


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