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-   -   Got a system? (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=21464)

Barny 4th May 2011 06:08 PM

I've got a great system

Topweight
LSW
Fav
Barrier one

Topweight wins 15% of the time

LSW wins 15% of the time

Fav’s win 30% of the time

Barrier one wins 10% of the time



Let’s start with the topweight first and try to work out what impact a LSW will have on the 15% SR of the Topweight. Should it improve the topweight’s SR by 15% or part thereof ?? Well yes it should. We need to find out what % of LSW were included in the winning topweight figure as a % of overall LSW / topweight combination.



Let’s assume the following % of LSW, Fav’s and Barrier one are incorporated into the 15% SR of the topweight.
  • LSW – say 20% of all LSW are topweights = 15% x 20% = 3% added to the topweights chances.
  • Fav’s – say 20% of all Fav’s are topweights = 30% x 20% = 6% added to the topweights chances.
  • Barrier one – 10% of all barrier one are topweights = 10% x 10% = 1% added to the topweights chances.


So the Topweight as a LSW and Fav drawn in barrier one will win 25% of the time.

beton 4th May 2011 06:18 PM

At less than even money

darkydog2002 4th May 2011 06:20 PM

At 25 % strike rate we need a minimum of $4 to break even.

Bhagwan 5th May 2011 03:22 AM

Excellent...simple excellent.

Load it up big time to fall over, betting 15% of bank liability.

Lay all if 3.50-4.50

Make good money.

Job123 5th May 2011 07:15 AM

profit
 
One I particularly like though I post the selections under" darkys Infallible Dazzlers."
I wont post the rules as I promised the author not to divulge it,

to Darkydog have you the profit figures on it I counted a run of 16 outs with a winner mixed in that lot which was around a 2 dollars div .

darkydog2002 5th May 2011 08:12 AM

There was NEVER a time where it had 16 outs AND its showing a very HEALTHY profit thank you very much.

stugots 5th May 2011 09:18 AM

going very nicely darky, dunno what job123 is on about

moeee 5th May 2011 10:22 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by stugots
going very nicely darky, dunno what job123 is on about


Well then stugots.
How about putting your money where your mouth is and showing us how you came to the conclusion that job123 is a fool and is mistaken.

Post your result sheet on the tips.

stugots 5th May 2011 10:29 AM

pull your finger out & do it for yourself moocow

moeee 5th May 2011 10:44 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by stugots
pull your finger out & do it for yourself moocow


No Need.
Job123 has already done it and found it like 99% of Darkys Systems - LOSER.
What I can't understand is how you and Darky found it to be a winner, yet you won't provide the proof and bag people who have done the research.

Never mind anyway.
I used to be an alcaholic and frequent Forums and talk ******** too.
The only thing I've managed to change is I'm no longer an alcaholic.


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