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woof43 5th May 2011 08:39 PM

top 50 trifectas combos
 
based on probxlog of the current fixed price market
5 6 7 1
5 7 6 2
5 6 8 3
5 7 8 4
5 8 6 5
5 8 7 6
6 5 7 7
7 5 6 8
6 5 8 9
5 6 1 10
7 5 8 11
5 7 1 12
5 6 4 13
6 7 5 14
5 7 4 15
7 6 5 16
8 5 6 17
8 5 7 18
5 1 6 19
5 1 7 20
5 8 1 21
5 4 6 22
6 8 5 23
5 8 4 24
6 5 1 25
5 4 7 26
7 8 5 27
6 5 4 28
7 5 1 29
5 1 8 30
8 6 5 31
7 5 4 32
8 7 5 33
5 4 8 34
5 6 2 35
5 7 2 36
6 7 8 37
8 5 1 38
7 6 8 39
8 5 4 40
6 8 7 41
5 8 2 42
7 8 6 43
6 1 5 44
5 1 4 45
6 5 2 46
5 4 1 47
7 1 5 48
1 5 6 49
6 4 5 50

lomaca 5th May 2011 08:40 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
Its always the way isn't it - you post selections, they fail - you don't post, they Win.
Ok I'm not saying what my selections were on race five but here goes for
race six: 4-8-1

I favour No. 1 but that is just me.

woof43 5th May 2011 08:48 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
I've lost over $600 dollars in the past month or so.
And I really ain't departed in a major way from my usual handicapping.

Woof - did you ever lose a substantial amount in a month , with no definite reason as to why it occurred??


Yes, some mind boggling $ in HK, caused by an algorithm gone wrong.

Moeee,

Your handicapping every race the same, and presumably wagering in the same way, big mistake.
As I bang on and on, look at the Fav, understand what major and minor factors the public have used to decide this Fav for todays race. Then see how your handicapping stands up against those types of Favs. in the past
Then you will come out of your current "blind spot".

woof43 5th May 2011 08:55 PM

Sample race classification rankings
 
Moee, here is a simple race classification of Race 9, I only included simple stuff
the lower the rank the better
Once you classify a race not on Grade/ Class, Distance age sex etc etc you move from Handicapping the animals to handicapping the wagering public.
This is where our horse racing "back-fitting" friends on here are not seeing the trees from the forest.

Homeberger Rankings
Bx Accel Split Time Class Time Split Time Class
1 A8 S8 T7 C7 TS15 TC14
2 A4 S6 T5 C3 TS11 TC8

4 A6 S4 T6 C2 TS10 TC8
5 A1 S1 T1 C1 TS2 TC2
6 A2 S2 T2 C6 TS4 TC8
7 A3 S3 T4 C4 TS7 TC8
8 A7 S7 T3 C5 TS10 TC8

lomaca 5th May 2011 08:57 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by lomaca
Ok I'm not saying what my selections were on race five but here goes for
race six: 4-8-1

I favour No. 1 but that is just me.
Place only for the 4.

Race 7: 2-3-5
goes against the common "knowledge"

moeee 5th May 2011 08:58 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by lomaca
Ok I'm not saying what my selections were on race five but here goes for
race six: 4-8-1

I favour No. 1 but that is just me.


Forum curse strikes again!!!

Okay Woof43.
I can't do what you suggest because I don't understand what you are saying and never have, and never will.

But what I will do is pay more attention to what I am doing in my handicapping, so that I don't end up doing what everyone else is doing.
Because doing what everyone else is doing, and not doing it quite as well, is a guaranteed way of losing over 14% in the long run.

woof43 5th May 2011 09:05 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
Forum curse strikes again!!!

Okay Woof43.
I can't do what you suggest because I don't understand what you are saying and never have, and never will.


Let's say in Don Chendo race, the public has made it top elect , not because of the post position, but because of Time, and Early speed. Your handicapping may decide it is 2nd elect. When the race has been run, they were right you were wrong, now you record this over and over for every race that matches that same situation you find your a loser on those types of matching races, now you know you have a "blind spot" in your handicapping for this subset.
Either you avoid those races or wager differently and become a winner.

lomaca 5th May 2011 09:08 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
Forum curse strikes again!!!

Okay Woof43.
I can't do what you suggest because I don't understand what you are saying and never have, and never will.

Have to agree with you there moeee, IT is my game but I have no idea what woof43 is on about here.

Sorry woof43, I know sometimes we assume others know what we do, but alas it's not so.

Anyhoo
race 9: 5-6-2

I favour 2, (again my secret selection)

moeee 5th May 2011 09:09 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by lomaca

Race 7: 2-3-5
goes against the common "knowledge"


I dunno.


Those numbers look very likely to me as well.


EDIT you forgot #7

lomaca 5th May 2011 09:17 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
I dunno.


Those numbers look very likely to me as well.


EDIT you forgot #7
I have to admit I omit the late mail and "best overall" from my selections for win, but put them in the multiples.

I was hoping the 3 would do better but can't win them all.


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