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-   -   The MEADOWS (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=21816)

moeee 11th June 2011 05:41 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by woof43
I do change my price when there are certain types of market forces


I do all the wrk prior to the Race being run.
I assess all the relevant Factors and compare dogs against dog.
Well not ALL the Factors , otherwise my brain will fry its already reduced capacity.

But what is it you are doing with these "Market Forces".
What are these "Market Forces composed of?
I've always wondered why animals often start as short as they do on occasion.
Who the ******** is unloading such an amount of money on unraced Greyhounds in Maidens that they often start at Odds On?

I mean , I could find a hundred Races of better viability of placing a Wager.
Or am I blinker-biased by the Facts and Figures in a Form Guide.

moeee 11th June 2011 05:48 PM

RACE 6

1 ALLOWANCE $2.6
5 MAGIC DASHER $4.8
2 LEKTRA BOB $7.3
4 ED PACINO $8.2
6 PURE SHOW $10
3 DYNA SHAYLA $60
10 FREDDY FLATHEAD $75
7 ALLEN EDDIE $90

The Winner comes from the top 2 selections in this.
2nd from the top 3
And then there are only another 2 animals capable of figuring within 7 lengths of the Winner.
Excellent Flexi4 Race.

woof43 11th June 2011 06:01 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
Are these conclusions determined by Mathematical Laws , or are they observed situations caused by erroneous behaviour by Joe Public , brought on by poor knowledge of Mathematics as demonstrated by many Members of Many Forums.

I figure the latter.

My own method would be more based around how I handicapped the Race.
Not in my wildest dreams would I consider placing My 2 Worst animals in 2nd position in my exotics.
That simply negates the hard work involved in the study.


you know what those 2 worst animals, may be the ones that suffer the least amount of interference because they are behind the field at the first turn and can their own race.

moeee 11th June 2011 06:09 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by woof43
you know what those 2 worst animals, may be the ones that suffer the least amount of interference because they are behind the field at the first turn and can their own race.


It would take a helluva lot of interference for a camel to run 2nd to PharLap.
When I said My 2 Worst , I meant , like , $50 shots.
And $50 shots when the rest of the Field are less than say , $12.

moeee 11th June 2011 08:07 PM

5 Winning top selections out of 6 Races and I'm losing - GO FIGURE!! :(


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