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woof43 18th June 2011 07:32 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
RACE 5

6 MISS BEL AIR $3.3
5 GAELIC BALE $4
4 MANUEL BALE $10
3 PETER'S PROJECT $11.4
1 CRIME WAVE $12.8
8 KHUMBU $14
2 GOLD RUSH MAX $16
7 LIESEL $20

Hard Race

I have the #6 a little shorter than your quote.This dogs only started the twice on the this track out of about 30 starts. tells you something
Thought the #8 was a real chance if the odds were good
8,5,4 is what i prefer to the Fav.

1 5.153
2 5.104
3 5.162
4 5.133
5 5.130
6 5.065
7 5.153
8 5.095

woof43 18th June 2011 08:19 PM

Race 8
 
1st split times.
1 5.038
2 5.094
3 5.008
4 5.206
5 5.237
6 5.047
7 5.173
8 5.108
Moee, I think the #1 may struggle to lead these dogs, #3 has been racing very well. I thought brittons dog in the #6 would get clean go especially with the slow early #5 sitting under it.
It's tight between the #6 & #8 for the second sectionals.
8,6,3,5 for mine

woof43 18th June 2011 08:33 PM

Moeee, in last weeks Sandown thread you were talking about incorporating odds line into your rating.

What is far more beneficial is to for each dog, in their past formlines, convert their starting price odds to a Natural % then total these decimals points then see how if this dog is over bet by the public to its actual strike rate.

moeee 18th June 2011 08:40 PM

Say the past 18 starts would probably be okay?

woof43 18th June 2011 08:45 PM

yep, you need more then 12 starts at a minimum


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