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-   -   Test Last Start winners (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=21934)

michaelg 27th June 2011 12:23 PM

Thanks, Darky,

some time ago I did check exactly that, i.e. the max price of $1.50 in his market. Unfortunately it did not perform as I had hoped it would. However I don't think I applied any filters to it.

Try Try Again 28th June 2011 10:59 AM

Hi Darkydog2002 and Michaelg,

As you know I only look at Don Scott's rated Favourite on NSW and Vic meetings on Good/Dead tracks and have recorded the results since 20th March 2011. For Don Scott Favourites rated at <= $1.50 there have been 131 selections for 48 winners (S/R 36.6%) for LOT% = 0.2%. Results are based on Citybest+ for city meetings and Country Best for country meetings.

For all DS odds-on rated Favourites there have been 286 selections for 82 winners (S/R 28.7%) and LOT% = 10.7%. Thus rated DS favourites >$1.50 but <$2.00 are performing very poorly with 155 selections for 34 winners (S/R 21.9%) for LOT% = 19.1%.

Admittedly the sample size is not large but at least it is growing each day!

michaelg 28th June 2011 11:26 AM

Thanks for that, Try.

Have you got records of where they finished at last start?

Try Try Again 28th June 2011 11:30 AM

Hi Michaelg,

No sorry I don't record that info.

I record Class of race, Distance, number of starters, Horse's name, Don Scott rating, SP, Finishing position (Won, 2nd, 3rd or unplaced) and Win & Place dividends.

beton 28th June 2011 12:15 PM

On my data =<$1.50 tote has a 60% strike rate.+<$2 tote fav has a 50% strike rate. All races all conditions. Hence these DS favs are performing well under. Beton

darkydog2002 28th June 2011 01:56 PM

Try Try Again and Beton,
Thanks for that.Appreciated.
Cheers
darky

Stix 17th July 2011 11:43 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
Thanks, Stix.

I assume it applies to the top neural rater using the default settings?


using the old Trainer/Jockey system neural settings


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