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Thanks heaps Vortech.
I notice it had a 21% win SR . Which is a bit up there for a lay plan. If you were to re-write the rules to improve the Lay profitability e.g. greater LOT . What would you make them? |
How many filters are you happy with?
Saturday races and mid week? |
Say 2-4 filters so as to get the 21% SR down a bit to say 17-18%
e.g. apprentice jockeys or win SR lowered from 19% or days LS 28days+ or Field size. or TAB price last start. or Up in Wt. or Dist range. ect. Betting 7 days a week. It's a positive start so far . So thanks once again. |
Rules:
Last Start 2nd 1-19% Win $9.80 or less No Heavy Jockey Allowance = 0 SP Rank not 1st Results since March 10 1003 Bets 13.6% Strike Rate Return of $726.40 LOT 27.60% Also if you add No Adelaide Metro Races or Monday you get 895 Bets Return 597.70 LOT 33.2% 12.8% STrike Rate Not one that has used laying before, how does this sound? |
That's brilliant Vortech.
Well done. Thanks for doing that. |
Hi Vortech.
Not meaning to hijack your thread, but using the rules stipulated 7 days a week, the results I get going back to March 2010 are as follows :- RULES> BHAG/VORTECH Track Condition: GDS Horse Win %: 1 - 19 Jockey Allowance: 0.0 - 0.0 Last Start Finish Pos: 2 - 2 SP Price: 0.0 - 9.8 SP Rank: 2 - 24 SYSTEM RESULTS FOR: TEST_BHAG 01/03/2010-07/09/2011 Created by Bet Selector at 22:12:47 on 08/09/2011 WIN Races Bet: 3125 Races Won: 451 S.R./Race: 14.4% Outlay($): 3421.00 Return : 2588.70 $ Profit : -832.30 % P.O.T. : -24.3% Maybe you have not got all the meeting downloads.?? I have the lot back to January 2000. Regards Enjay |
Me again. Rule change to Sun Wed and Sat No Adelaide max 6 kg below top weight.
BHAG Day of Week: 147 Venue: SMBWX Track Condition: GDS Horse Win %: 1 - 19 Weight Below Top: 0.0 - 6.0 Jockey Allowance: 0.0 - 0.0 Last Start Finish Pos: 2 - 2 SP Price: 0.0 - 9.8 SP Rank: 2 - 24 SYSTEM RESULTS FOR: TEST_BHAG 01/03/2010-07/09/2011 Created by Bet Selector at 22:57:39 on 08/09/2011 WIN Races Bet: 1654 Races Won: 222 S.R./Race: 13.4% Outlay($): 1813.00 Return : 1238.30 $ Profit : -574.70 % P.O.T. : -31.7% Enjay |
Thanks for that.
I've got all the meetings but how do you go back and get all the starting Prices? Do you have to do this through the live betting. I also only used SMBAWsmbaw for my races. Didn't use the X. Any other interesting systems you have in your bag enjay? I've got data going back to Jan 2008. Have you incorporated the unitab ratings yet? Sorry for all the questions. |
Impressive figures there also.
Thanks for that. |
Hi Vortech.
I have used all meetings as per the **** Manual.......SMBAWX Venue: Venue code, eg S for Sydney, M for Melbourne, B for Brisbane, A for Adelaide, W for Perth and X for anything else - or a combination of these eg SMBAWX for everything, SMB for just the 3 eastern capitals etc. Using the same letters but in lower case picks provincial venues in each respective state (eg s for NSW provincials, m for Victorian provincials etc). Also you can string two or three 3 letter track codes together like *MOPMPK to test for both Morphettville tracks (you can use this for any combination of 2 or 3 track codes whether they are at the same location or not). Also I have just asked for the last start SP to be below $9.80 also in manual Market Criteria: SP Price (min-max) allows you to select horses by their Starting Price (expressed in dollars) using the min and max range. SP Rank (min-max) allows you to select horses by their Starting Price Ranking, eg 1-1 for favourite, 1-3 for top 3 favourites etc. I hope that helps.......And yes I do have quite a few interesting systems in my bag, roughly 40 that I run daily.... Enjay |
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