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-   -   Combined Laying Systems. (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=22780)

UselessBettor 24th October 2011 02:08 PM

Just thought I would also add under $20 for each system:

System 1: ($20 and Under) :
There were 1615 selections for the System
There were 1260 which Lost (did not win race) for the System for a strike rate of 78.02%
You had to pay out $1395.12 but brought in $1534.25 after 5% commission. This means a Profit or loss of $139.13 or a percentage profit/loss of 8.61%

System 2: ($20 and Under) :
There were 956 selections for the System
There were 777 which Lost (did not win race) for the System for a strike rate of 81.28%
You had to pay out $908.23 but brought in $908.2 after 5% commission. This means a Profit or loss of $-0.0300000000001 or a percentage profit/loss of -0%

System 3: ($20 and Under) :
There were 800 selections for the System
There were 614 which Lost (did not win race) for the System for a strike rate of 76.75%
You had to pay out $681.79 but brought in $760 after 5% commission. This means a Profit or loss of $78.21 or a percentage profit/loss of 9.78%

UselessBettor 24th October 2011 09:30 PM

I am adding a 4th System which I will monitor.

System 4:
There were 464 selections for the System
There were 330 which Lost (did not win race) for the System for a strike rate of 71.12%
You had to pay out $383.94 but brought in $440.8 after 5% commission. This means a Profit or loss of $56.86 or a percentage profit/loss of 12.25%

Bhagwan 25th October 2011 05:20 AM

Heres a backing system that shows promise.

45% SR
31% POT

RULES
Price <= 4.00 (Betfair)
TAB No. <= 6
Last Start <= 7 days

Bhagwan 25th October 2011 05:37 AM

Heres a Lay plan

96% success rate
75% POT

RULES
Win Price <=12.00
TAB no. <= 5
Don Scott = 2
UniTAB ranking => 7

Bhagwan 25th October 2011 05:51 AM

Lay Plan No.2

89% SR
23% POT

RULES
Win Price <= 13.00
TAB No. <= 4
UniTAB ranking = 7

I believe in system creation for Lay betting, that its important to strive for a 20% POT min
to allow for drifting the other way.

Also 85% success rate.
For the same reasons.

Otherwise its too finer edge to go the other way & can feel like an eternity to recover.

aussielongboat 25th October 2011 07:35 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bhagwan
Heres a backing system that shows promise.

45% SR
31% POT

RULES
Price <= 4.00 (Betfair)
TAB No. <= 6
Last Start <= 7 days


yeah if it were correct.
these are the results
Test your Horse Racing System - Results

Below are the results of your system. If you were testing Laying it is against the higher price available. if you test betting its agaisnt the lower available value on betfair.

There were 26612 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 1679 selections for the System
There were 606 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 36.09%
There were $1640.48 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $-38.52 or a percentage profit/loss of -2.29%

-

do you concur ( agree)

cheers

aussie

aussielongboat 25th October 2011 07:45 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bhagwan
Heres a backing system that shows promise.

45% SR
31% POT

RULES
Price <= 4.00 (Betfair)
TAB No. <= 6
Last Start <= 7 days


yeah if it were correct.
these are the results get
Test your Horse Racing System - Results

Below are the results of your system. If you were testing Laying it is against the higher price available. if you test betting its agaisnt the lower available value on betfair.

There were 26612 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 1679 selections for the System
There were 606 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 36.09%
There were $1640.48 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $-38.52 or a percentage profit/loss of -2.29%

-

do you concur ( agree)

cheers

aussie

aussielongboat 25th October 2011 07:45 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Bhagwan
Heres a backing system that shows promise.

45% SR
31% POT

RULES
Price <= 4.00 (Betfair)
TAB No. <= 6
Last Start <= 7 days


yeah if it were correct.
these are the results get
Test your Horse Racing System - Results

Below are the results of your system. If you were testing Laying it is against the higher price available. if you test betting its agaisnt the lower available value on betfair.

There were 26612 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 1679 selections for the System
There were 606 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 36.09%
There were $1640.48 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $-38.52 or a percentage profit/loss of -2.29%

-

do you concur

cheers

aussie

Bhagwan 25th October 2011 08:37 AM

I came up with the same 45% SR & 31% POT

You may wish to double check this.

The Ocho 25th October 2011 08:40 AM

I get the same result as you aussielongboat. Maybe Bhagwan is still using the old stats before UB undated it.


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