bin

The issue I see with this system is that you pick up the Weekend Husslers and Here De Angels of this world, and a truck load of more recent nags who's names escape me. Those that have won a bucketload of races early on but haven't gone on with it. I would flick the 1 - 4 last start and go for last start winner and something like one or two wins this campaign. There are a heap of nags who win 6 from their first seven or thereabouts and do little afterwards. I know this because I follow a Win% system and have a filter that gives these types the flick.

IT IS amazing how many nags win plenty in their first 6 or 7 runs then ..... nought !!!!

My pleasure ...... please send unmarked notes in a brown envelope to IM A GENIARSE, PO BOX 389, CAMERON(S) CORNER (the S is optional and you would know that if you've been there!)

in reality it doesnt become a problem because there are no almost selections
or at least none that I can see.

cheers
aussie

yeah aussielongboat, 7 days last start must restrict it to nought selections.

Barny and that's the reason I steer away from the up and comers, the 2YO and 3YO champs.
Only a small percentage go on with it.

Hi Chrome Prince, I follow a system based on a fairly high Win% base, and it takes a heck of a lot of losing runs to eliminate a horse that's won say 6 out of it's first seven. As you say, most don't go on with it. That's my experience too. Get rid of them straight away and you're saving yourself a lot of "under priced" losing bets. Also get rid of them from the database that you're using to analyse your system because having Black Caviar and Sepoy in there will give you a great strike rate, and show a lot of promise ..... but there's no sense to it.

Although its a dud system I,d immediately dump last start winners as the 14 % win ratio does absolutely nothing to engender confidence.
Cheers
darky