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TheSchmile 11th April 2012 07:03 PM

Apologies I didn't get to post today.

There would have been one selection at Goulbourn, race 1 Asclepius, however again the place divi was piddly and it won, albeit at $1.50 Unitab.

I won't record this selection as it is retrospective
and will endeavour to post each day if possible now I'm off the boat.

Have a great evening all!!

The Schmile

TheSchmile 12th April 2012 10:29 AM

No selections qualify today, for interests sake, here are the ones that didn't make the cut.

Kalgoorlie
4-2
Hawkesbury
8-1
Ballarat
6-1

I've been thinking in light of recent results, if the selection is less than $1.30 the place, two mins before the off, then back for the win.

Have a great day!!

The Schmile

TheSchmile 12th April 2012 06:05 PM

2 from 3 placed today of the non selections, producing a 'juicy' profit of .35 units :)

The non selections were pretty much comprehensively beaten by 4.2, 4.3 and 2.4 lengthS respectively, which is giving me confidence in the ratings filter. Might turn into a lovely win laying method for the non selections. Time will tell......

Have a fine evening one and all, I'm still in glorious WA. The weather is simply divine at the minute.

The Schmile

TheSchmile 13th April 2012 10:04 AM

Just two 'good' tracks at Canterbury and Ipswich today and no selections pass the stringent ratings rules. This method may be over selective, however if the winners keep flowing I won't be complaining.

The one's that didn't make it (think there might be a few winners from these today as a couple only just missed out but I won't be on them):

Ipswich
6-2

Canberra
4-1

Cranbourne
7-5

Canterbury
4-4

Have a beautiful Friday!

The Schmile

TheSchmile 14th April 2012 09:28 AM

Just one selection won yesterday, Canberra 4-1, Myname'sjames at $1.46. Canterbury became a complete non selection with less than 8 runners. There would have been a profit of 1.44 units laying the three selections for the win at level stakes.

Only one selection today, the exciting Atlantic Jewel. Looks like it will be a straight win bet as she's 1.34 fixed for the win at the minute.

CS
Randwick
6 - 2

(Dead track at Flemington today so 7-1 doesn't qualify)

Non Selections
Doomben
5 - 4

Morphettville
3 - 3

Ascot
5 - 12

*Just to confirm this idea is a test only and no money is being staked on selections at the moment.

Best of luck to all having a play today!!

The Schmile

garyf 14th April 2012 11:42 AM

Hi T.S.

As i live across the road from flemington i usually walk my pet labrador,
Each time there is a race meeting early in the morning at the track.

I reckon the track will be upgraded by race=7 so your selection may,
Become a bet it is about 24 degrees and a wind is blowing.

Just about to leave now so keep your eye on it.

Cheers.
Garyf.

TheSchmile 14th April 2012 01:16 PM

Nailed it Garyf,

It's a good 3 now so 7-1 at Flemington becomes a selection.

It's magnificent again in today in WA.

The Schmile

TheSchmile 14th April 2012 04:33 PM

Well I guess one could only describe today's performance by Atlantic Jewel as 'Black Caviaresque'! So good to see her return in fine fettle and a mighty spring awaits if she can stay sound!

Liveandletdie let the system down, however I think I was able to pick up some info for future selections which is the point of this thread.

Results on CS out 2 in 1.4 P/L -.6

2 of the 3 non selections got beaten by over 3L and the winner Rocker got in by a nose. Profit on a win lay was +0.42.

Interestingly, Rose was absolutely nowhere in my ratings and ran accordingly. For those using ratings and looking for short priced lays or value selections with the favourite out, it might pay to go over her figures. She started at close to evens.

Have a great night everyone and hope you backed a winner or two!!

The Schmile

TheSchmile 15th April 2012 03:40 PM

Happy Sunday all,

I've decided to end this thread and monitor the method offline for a while. It's probably frustrating to read while I don't reveal the source of my ratings and how I come to core selections.

Some short-term discoveries/thoughts:
- I'll probably extend the track rating criteria to include dead tracks if the selection shows a distinct liking to it.
- I might start laying a couple of fav's a day if the general trend continues with the non-selections.
- Clear top-pick + 'odds on' may yet prove a powerful formula.

The Schmile


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