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-   -   Targeting 3rd fav (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=23799)

moeee 15th April 2012 09:46 AM

Well done to The Schmile and particularly Domenic.

Often , "helpful" posts remind me of the spin put out by politicians to bull******** the people that there is something good about poor policies.

Its not until the public actually examine the data do they realize the gloss and shine is only on the outside.

bernie 15th April 2012 09:48 AM

Thank you Domenic. I rest my case.

Bhagwan, I looked way back at posts starting in 1970. Someone then remarked that you seemed to be putting out something like a system a week. Things haven't changed much. Can I make a suggestion, when you post an idea you think will work follow up with daily results much like michaelg does.

To me the fact that the system has only 2 rules doesn't give it any more credibility than 1 rule or 4.

Yes, we need to share our findings but to print ideas that are illogical is just a waste of space. I can find many such systems on UB's system tester but after studying methods and systems most of my life I think I'm educated enough to know that they wouldn't be worth a grain of salt. I also know that one big dividend can distort most system results.

Dale 15th April 2012 10:17 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by bernie
Can I make a suggestion, when you post an idea you think will work follow up with daily results



Excellent suggestion!

Concentrate on one thing and develope it into something, a scattergun approach to systems doesnt get us anywhere.

TheSchmile 15th April 2012 12:40 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by domenic
3rd Fav, NSW TAB, January 2011 - April 2012.

Bets: 19807
Wins: 2674
S/R: 13.50%
Return: $16356.60
Ave Win Div: $6.12
Loss: $3450.40 (17.40%)

Field Size:
3. +$1.90 +19%
4. -$17.80 -17%
5. -$64.00 -20%
6. -$94.20 -11%
7. -$355.10 -25%
8. -$393.00 -20%
9. -$405.60 -17%
10. -$435.10 -15%
11. -$518.20 -20%
12. -$607.20 -21%
13. -$218.80 -13%
14. -$285.50 -16%
15. +$21.60 +16%
16. -$75.80 -18%
17. +$4.30 +23%
18. -$5.90 -31%U

The 3rd Fav will vary between different betting agencies. Individuals can draw their own conclusions.


Hi Domenic,

I'm curious to know, was the win % of around 19 the same with your stats in 5 & 6 horse fields?

The Schmile

domenic 15th April 2012 12:54 PM

Strike rates added.

Quote:
Originally Posted by domenic
3rd Fav, NSW TAB, January 2011 - April 2012.


Bets: 19807
Wins: 2674
S/R: 13.50%
Return: $16356.60
Ave Win Div: $6.12
Loss: $3450.40 (17.40%)

Field Size:
3. +$1.90 +19%.....S/R...30
4. -$17.80 -17%............18
5. -$64.00 -20%............16
6. -$94.20 -11%............17
7. -$355.10 -25%..........14
8. -$393.00 -20%..........14
9. -$405.60 -17%..........14
10. -$435.10 -15%........14
11. -$518.20 -20%........13
12. -$607.20 -21%........12
13. -$218.80 -13%........13
14. -$285.50 -16%........13
15. +$21.60 +16%.........14
16. -$75.80 -18%..........12
17. +$4.30 +23%..........16
18. -$5.90 -31%...........11

The 3rd Fav will vary between different betting agencies. Individuals can draw their own conclusions.

moeee 15th April 2012 01:29 PM

Domenic
 
There is absolutley no Link between what I wish and what actually happens.

But I wish you every success in your endeavours.
I figure you deserve it.

TheSchmile 15th April 2012 02:02 PM

Cheers Domenic.

The Schmile

rails run 15th April 2012 02:19 PM

Bhags, I hope you keep throwing your ideas out there on this forum. I like the thought stimulation they (and other members) give me (right or wrong) and I am capable of making up my own mind whether I see enough merit in it to test them further. No buckets of cold water from me.

To the others out there who make a positive contribution here... thanks!
To the rest... it's getting tiresome sorting through the ego's for something of interest.

Merriguy 15th April 2012 02:49 PM

Well said, Rails.

moeee 15th April 2012 03:05 PM

I just realized something extremely important.

Those Members that simply don't get it , make the Betting Pools significantly beneficial for the Members that do.

No more guiding lost souls input from me any more.


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