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-   -   An Easy way to check quality of race? (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=23949)

Merriguy 27th April 2012 04:08 PM

Agree with Matt.

Like to thank Mancunian for the thumbs up about the R&S site. Must have visited it a thousand times yet did't know that API facility was there!!! Actually Punters Paradise does a good job of indicating clearly what each horse's API is. Often use it myself.

Good Luck with the idea.

Shaun 27th April 2012 04:16 PM

I have to agree on better quality races, since i have been picking just the best races from each venue have done a lot better lately.

My chosen races today
Horse Racing / Ipsw (AUS) 27th Apr : R7 1350m Hcap
Horse Racing / Geel (AUS) 27th Apr : R7 2000m Hcap
Horse Racing / Canb (AUS) 27th Apr : R6 1200m Hcap
Horse Racing / Geel (AUS) 27th Apr : R6 1300m Hcap
Horse Racing / PMaq (AUS) 27th Apr : R5 1000m Hcap
Horse Racing / PMaq (AUS) 27th Apr : R4 1500m Hcap
Horse Racing / Geel (AUS) 27th Apr : R4 1100m Hcap
Horse Racing / Canb (AUS) 27th Apr : R3 1600m Hcap
Horse Racing / Canb (AUS) 27th Apr : R2 1400m Hcap

Mancunian 27th April 2012 04:30 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by mattio
Hi Mancunian,

Not trying to put down your methodology but only betting races where the average API is less than 2 is a quick way to the poor house in my opinion. These are going to be mostly maidens with first starters (which goes against one of your rules) and very low class benchmark races, all of which make poor betting options.

Focus on the best horses in the best quality races and you will do much better with less opportunity for some donkey beating your selection as it invariably will in weaker class races.

Cheers,

Matt.


Hi Matt,
1. I'm not particularly looking at this method for the better quality races as I tackle them much more seriously (and with reasonable success).
2. One of my elimination rules is to leave out races that have any first starters.
3. If the race is restricted to maidens - a maiden has to win !
cheers ....Mancunian.

Mancunian 27th April 2012 04:46 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mancunian

Here is a list of the top 4 contenders with API above the race average :
Geel - r7 / 9.10.2.5.
Geel - r8/ 9.2.1.10.
Ipsw - r3/ 6.1.2.7.
Ipsw - r4/ 8.6.2.1.
Ipsw - r5/ 2.1.9.8.
Ipsw - r6/ 1.2.5.12.
Ipsw - r7/ 6.7.4.11
Canb - r4/ 8.1.9.
Canb - r6/ 6.4.
Canb - r7/ 3.7.1.5.
Canb - r8/ 2.3.8.
PtMq - r3/ 1.5.2
PtMq - r4/ 4.5.2.3.
PtMq - r6/ 1.3.5.4.
PtMq - r7/ 4.8.6.3.
PtMq - r8/ 1.3.6.2.

cheers...........Mancunian


Results in the same order as above :
Lost
Lost
2 Won $4.50
8 Won $4.20
Lost
5 Won $16.50
Lost
9 Won $7.90
6 Won $3.10
Lost
2 Won $2.10
Lost
5 Won $2.00
1 Won $2.20
Lost
1 Won $4.80
summary 16 Races for 9 wins
all winners came from the 1st 3 selections
outlay $47 return $47.30
(Oh no - not another break even system !)
I'll look at it a bit more, perhaps on another off day.
cheers.....Mancunian

mattio 27th April 2012 05:06 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mancunian
Hi Matt,
1. I'm not particularly looking at this method for the better quality races as I tackle them much more seriously (and with reasonable success).
2. One of my elimination rules is to leave out races that have any first starters.
3. If the race is restricted to maidens - a maiden has to win !
cheers ....Mancunian.
Each to their own mate, good luck with it.

Cheers,

Matt.


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