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-   -   DFS ratings Race 1 (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=24323)

garyf 8th June 2012 10:56 AM

I have noticed on their forum there are at least two other people who also post here.

One is under suspension at the moment maybe they can add things,
To help out with these ratings in the search for Shangri la.

Cheers.

garyf 8th June 2012 11:08 AM

Iwill start the ball rolling with one idea that will improve the strike rate.


Back the top rated in the skyform rating (100) if it is also the,
Top pick in the best overall panel.

This doesn't make a level stakes profit but with some thinking,
Outside of the square i am sure can.

For many years crosstabbing the top=2 in one panel with another,
Panel with various other filters i was able to grind out a small profit,
Each year.

I have since moved on to other things.

Enough from me, we need to hear from others with ideas,
I see to be clogging up everyones posts.

While i am here congratulations to moee on the quaddy legs,
At sandown last night.

Beter not harp on that have already been t.o.u.d.

Cheers.
Garyf.

garyf 8th June 2012 11:30 AM

A word of warning.


If you are using the best overall panel make sure you use,
The print 3rd option dfs etc as tghe horses on the original
Skyform ratings are often wrong especially after scratchings.

Just a couple of examples on the races i am betting on today

Sunshine-coast race=7 nos-4 has 8 consensus points should be 10
Grafton race=9 nos-3 has 14 points should be 15 points etc.

MANY TIMES THE ORDER WILL BE DIFFERENT POINTS ETC SO PLEASE CHECK THE DFS 3RD OPTION FOR THE CORRECT POINTS AND ORDER.

All the other panels will be correct.

Cheers.

Lord Greystoke 8th June 2012 11:51 AM

I see it now (said the blind man)

Ta mate.

LG

garyf 9th June 2012 08:23 PM

Thought i would have a look at how the top=3 skyform ratings,

On the Vic-Tab website went today.
I will use my bettable races that i listed,
On a previous post somewhere.

I only bet on these races when "ALL HORSES TOP FLUCT=$3.0>"
I only bet in QLD SYD VICT.

Wiil list the races in order of how the races fell.
Div's will be metro best of 3 or starting price.
Country + Provincial best of 3 totes.

I do all my betting with Tom Waterhouse.

FLEM R-3(5-8-2) W=5 $3.70 = GOOD.
R/HILL R-3(11-2-6) W=6 $9.50= AVERAGE.
FLEM R-4(1-2-7) LOSE =AVERAGE.
R/HAMPTON R-3(7-1-6) W=6 $7.1=AVERAGE.
E/FARM R-4(6-5-1 LOSE =GOOD.
FLEM R-6(6-17-7) W=6 $5.9=GOOD.
R/HILL R-6(8-2-13) LOSE =GOOD.
E/FARM R-7 (6-17-8) LOSE=GOOD.
SWAN HILL R-6(6-3-5) W=3 $4.70 =AVERAGE.
R/HILL R-7(11-13-6) W=6 9.30=AVERAGE.
GLD COAST R-9(8-3-4) W=3 $1.80 WAS BACKED FROM 3.0-2.0=AVERAGE.
R/HAMPTON R-7(5-14-1)W=14 $22.70=AVERAGE.
FLEM R-8(1-7-8) LOSE =GOOD.
E/FARM R-8(2-3-4) W=3 $4.0.=GOOD.
R/HILL R-8(12-2-3) LOSE =AVERAGE.

My race types are on L.Gs post i think.
These are the races i bet on today though not these selections.

I did recommend top 3-4 skyform timeform or best overall as something,
I used for many years.

Remember this is just one days results using the right races to bet in,
A bit of value and a free set of selections you could do worse.

BE WARNED YOU WILL NEED TO PUT YOUR OWN FILTERS IN.
TO MAKE THIS WORK THIS IS ONLY A GUIDE.

It's not the be all end all.
The tips are still there for you to check as are my race types.
Up to you know.

Cheers.

garyf 9th June 2012 08:30 PM

Very important completely forgot i don't bet on any age related races,
No matter what the class is.


Which also gets rid of c=g=e races
Should have mentioned that on LGS post.

Apoligies if anyone has been betting on them.

Cheers.
Garyf.

garyf 9th June 2012 09:01 PM

Those of you who are a member of Dynamic the A.A.P.
Top-4 not equal 4th work an absolute treat on these races,
Using these rules.

I don't bet Toowoomba night as i can't get fixed odds.

Also i don't bet in Adelaide or Western Australia as they,
Dont run enough meetings there during the week as,
I split my data into state, country, metro, provincial tracks.

Doesn't mean you can't bet there though,just my preference,
A nd you sometimes struggle to get fixed odds on the W.A. non metro.

Cheers.

Bhagwan 9th June 2012 09:01 PM

Oh! now I've gone & lost all me money.

I now have to hold you totally accountable for my shortfall Garyf.

Will that be cheque or cash?

LOL.

mattio 9th June 2012 09:57 PM

My ratings seem to have good success on WA races (I only rate Saturday metro meetings) and Adelaide don't go too bad either. 6/8 top rated winners today at Belmont and 3/6 top rated winners at Morphettville (although today was an extra-ordinary day, wish it was like that all the time!!).

I find it most difficult to rate Sydney metro races followed by Melbourne, probably due to the more varied form lines whereas WA tends to be more of a "closed circuit" form wise(for want of a better description).

beton 9th June 2012 10:28 PM

Thankyou Garyf for an A class posting and a Masterclass to boot. Lifts the forum up above the quagmire. Beton


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