Hi Barny,
Three filters put this method into profit on UB's tester: Leader, Pacemaker / Barrier 6+ / Use betfair Out 97 In 115 Garyf, I'm assuming your tongue is firmly in cheek with your comments? If not, I disagree that all ratings systems lead to overbet favourites. If you understand how the ratings are formulated and their various strengths and weaknesses, you can find value in my experience. |
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I actually have very firm beliefs the question i , Have asked of others, is for people, To either say yes or no to the post and maybe a reason. Either you agree or disagree. Just re-read the first 6 words and last 9 words in my post my opinion, Is nowhere to be seen just a simple question. You say no that's great. I am sure reading how the selection is obtained, In the prepost system, and other articles on L.G'S Quaddy thread to T.T.A. where i stand,of course, That's just me, doesn't make it right or wrong. Cheers. |
Hi Garyf,
I find that the DS ratings work well on certain types of races and the R + S weight ratings on entirely different races in my experience. So to answer your question completely seriously, I disagree that following free ratings will lead you to the poor house. There are various ways to interpret/filter different typres of ratings and find an edge. For me, it's being selective and betting big mostly on Saturdays with the ratings I use. |
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Now i have done it, gone and given. My opinion on my own question. When i promised myself i wouldn't. Cheers. Garyf. |
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Cheers. |
I know i have only been working with Skyform for about a week but from what i have seen they may be best if you select the panels that you feel more comfortable with.
When i design ratings i try to set it up so each bit of good form enhances the overall prospect and i am in the belief that if you have enough good form on your side it can over turn the bad, a lot of punters look no further than the 3 form figures or the jockey and maybe a couple other bits of key form. I think Skyform use completely different techniques for each panel that often don't enhance a runners prospects but can harm it. |
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Ha ha Garyf, What can you do??!! :D Not trying to toot your horn too much Garyf, however the best advice I can give to anyone wishing to conquer the ratings world, is to spend a day or two trawling through Garyf's numerous posts on this forum and gather as much info as possible. Not just the pre-post thread but his ratings thoughts over the best part of a few years. The answers you seek are right here on the forum. *No disrespect to any other forumites, as there are numerous quality posts on the subject of ratings and all things racing. God love ya's all!! "Racing tragics, UNITE!!!!" :) |
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I think you need to be confident with testing your rating price is correct. I have done lots of testing and now know over 5000 races my $2.00 rating chance wins 50% of the time (give or take 0.5%). This means if I can get $2.20 its worth a bet. (based on a 100% market price) Often you'll find there is no value in the short prices and most of the time I'm only betting where the favourite is $4.00 but it depends on your rated price. I am yet to isolate the data by venue as I need more data to be confident of my strike rate vs rating price. I don't see the point of a rating system having a horse priced at $2.00 when you test and find you only win 40% of the time long term. Since your help in ratings I've been backing 3 horses per race and find I have a 51% strike rate with a $6.57 avg dividend. garyf posts are a good read! |
Barny,
Herald Sun Ratings = Unitab Ratings |
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Learn something new everyday. So Herald Sun = Unitab = AAP Form Analysier. |
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