Roy Higgins said he'd take Barrier ONE anyday, even in the Melbourne to Warnambool bike race. An under-rated filter.

UB's Barrier 1 stats

There were 100159 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 8751 selections for the System
There were 8746 races for the System
There were 1055 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 12.06%
There were $7995.17 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $-755.83 or a percentage profit/loss of -8.64%

Test Another System

The Rules used were : barrier = 1

But The Ocho, if barrier 1 is the favourite in non maiden races we get a positive result.



There were 100159 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.

There were 755 selections for the System
There were 755 races for the System
There were 277 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 36.69%
There were $806.63 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $51.63 or a percentage profit/loss of 6.84%


The Rules used were : barrier = 1 and priceRank < 90 and priceRank = 1 and careerWins >= 1

.

I have used Bernie's method below DS=1, NR=1, DLS <=21
I have left out maidens, races where horses have never had a start and races with less than 8 runners

picks for Saturday 25/8 are

Belmont Rc3
Belmont Rc4
Doomben Rc4
Gold Coast Rc5
Newcastle Rc6
Newcastle Rc8

Let's see how they go for interest sake.

Pete

I've always ( probably wrongly) held the view that a bad barrier just improves the price.

And why Barriers 20 to 24 have the lowest strike rates but have a positive POT

Vortech

Would be interested in the tracks that have a BARRIER ONE bias. Have done some research myself on this. Interested to see if we agree with tracks.

Regards
U

It's not possible to have more selections than races for barrier 1.

Most likely late scratchings.

I'm trying to find the data on my laptop
I know Doomben 1000m was one.
I basically used R&S and the barrier stats
The 1000m there is a 10% stronger strike rate than any other barrier.