Thanks for those figures...i guess it is one of those spot plays.....specialy when they are top weight

I'll expand a little on what I posted.

If the horse form looks like 117 for example....

Look at the relationship to the last run where it won and that unplaced run.
Then look at the relationship to the run where it finished unplaced and today's race.

It may well be that the horse was ranked first or second at it's last win API and ranked fifth or worse when unplaced.

The same applies to the race prizemoney - it could be that the two wins were in $20,000 races and the 7th was in a $75,000 race.

Today's race it could be ranked second API and prizemoney for the race is $27,000.

Could be a good bet in that case.

I also think the lengths beaten is vital.
A horse could have a 110 formline but only beaten 3 lengths.
A horse could have a formline 115 but beaten 7 lengths.

[ This Message was edited by: Chrome Prince on 2003-04-23 13:51 ]

I think you are barking up the wrong tree.Suss the results of this formline out,anyone who has the facilities to do so.
121
131
141
151
161
171
181

121: -1% POT
131: -23%
141: -28%
151: -30%
161: -49%
171: -15%
181: -42%

All meetings from 1/1/02 until yesterday. Based on Tabcorp dividends.

121 could be made to show a profit without too much work (in fact it does show a profit if you look at Saturdays only) but I don't think the others look too promising (although some of them could form the basis of a good lay system for Betfair!)

Of course if you look at the previous year then 121 falls in a hole but some of the others look better. As I said before you need to include more than just the formline as a basis for your selection.
_________________
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[ This Message was edited by: becareful on 2003-04-24 15:01 ]