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-   -   My 75% plays (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=25328)

SpeedyBen 21st October 2012 10:25 AM

A good day's work.
May I ask how far back your testing goes?

evajb001 21st October 2012 11:31 AM

1 April 2012 is when I started the backtesting, 2066 races have been backtested so far.

Plays for today, i'll only list the horses that are being bet on today:

Gosford - Race 8

No.
2 Oakfield Honour
3 Slivovitz

Seymour - Race 7

No.
3 Callanish
5 Lord Of Brazil

Seymour - Race 8

No.
4 Your Honour

Seymour - Race 9

No.
13 Shihabi
4 Euphoric Realm

Naracoorte - Race 6

No.
1 Thorny Devil

UselessBettor 21st October 2012 05:13 PM

Evajb001,

Looking good again today. Also jsut a heads up I sent you an email.

My figures show 4 horses have run for a $5.60 return on tatts so far.

evajb001 21st October 2012 05:48 PM

4 winners from 8 bets today for 50% SR and a 84% POT

For the 2 days of posting the plays on here so far we have a 44% SR and an 83% POT. Will post again tomorrow morning if I get the time. Note the returns are based on Tatts odds.

I actually bet the plays myself today with Top Tote, $5 on my top rater $3 on any 2nd rater plays. $34 Outlay for $73.60 return or a POT of 116% myself. This was largely due to 3 winners being top rater so more dollars on them and also the following odds differentials:

Callanish (Tatts $2.20 - Top Tote $2.30)
Your Honour (Tatts $3.40 - Top Tote $3.50)
Shihabi (Tatts $3.80 - Top Tote $4.60)
Slivovitz (Tatts $5.30 - Top Tote $7.20)

UselessBettor 21st October 2012 05:52 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by evajb001
4 winners from 8 bets today for 50% SR and a 84% POT

For the 2 days of posting the plays on here so far we have a 44% SR and an 83% POT. Will post again tomorrow morning if I get the time. Note the returns are based on Tatts odds.

I actually bet the plays myself today with Top Tote, $5 on my top rater $3 on any 2nd rater plays. $34 Outlay for $73.60 return or a POT of 116% myself. This was largely due to 3 winners being top rater so more dollars on them and also the following odds differentials:

Callanish (Tatts $2.20 - Top Tote $2.30)
Your Honour (Tatts $3.40 - Top Tote $3.50)
Shihabi (Tatts $3.80 - Top Tote $4.60)
Slivovitz (Tatts $5.30 - Top Tote $7.20)


very nice wins this weekend

evajb001 22nd October 2012 11:09 AM

No plays today gents due to limited race quality and field sizes.

TheSchmile 22nd October 2012 11:17 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by evajb001
No plays today gents due to limited race quality and field sizes.


Smart way to operate evajb001. Today's a good day to review and relax.

Have a cracker one and all!

evajb001 23rd October 2012 01:29 PM

Today's plays people:

Mackay - Race 6

No.
1 Blazing Lion

Scone - Race 6

No.
2 Texan Lad
4 Kartini

Kyneton - Race 7

No.
13 Prince Hussar

evajb001 23rd October 2012 04:22 PM

Bit unlucky that Pince Hussar didn't get up in our first play running 2nd. Just had a winner on Texan Lad and Kartini ran 3rd so all plays today have ran a place. If Blazing Lion can get up it will be a very successful day, otherwise we will be looking at a small LOT today but nothing concerning.

As it stands at the moment on a POT of 3% betting all plays flat stakes, however with my $5 and $3 staking i'm on POT of 19% currently. lets go Blazing Lion!!

mattio 23rd October 2012 04:51 PM

Texan Lad is my horse, he was always going to have a big run first up today :)


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