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-   -   An Oldie but a good read ..... (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=25658)

The Ocho 5th December 2012 05:10 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by docdapunta
In honor of the less than impressive start I will rename my horses to follow. They will now fall under the banner of Doc's Donkeys.

Careful Doc, you may make an ass out of yourself. :D

Seriously though, good luck with it. :)

docdapunta 5th December 2012 05:14 PM

Doc's Donkeys - December 5th Update
 
Hall Of Fame
Nil

Hall of Shame
Nil

Current Horses
Gran Torino ($13.9)
Anelene ($10)

TheSchmile 5th December 2012 05:39 PM

Gran Torino loves the AW track.

docdapunta 5th December 2012 07:35 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by docdapunta

The rules to become a horse to follow are:-
- Age - 3-6
- First Up (Resuming at Metro Meeting)
- Win% - 26%+
- Place% - 50%+
- Trainer Rating (Racing and Sports) - 3+
- Must have won in the last 365 Days


I forgot to mention must have had at least 10 Career Starts.

Barny 5th December 2012 07:41 PM

This is really good stuff doc. PPM used to show a profit with their horses to follow although darkydog2002 disputed their legitimacy. The HS used to have Spring Carnival "stable" but it very rarely did any good. I'm a huge fan of the "concept" of following a horse. I have one David Hayes' horses picked out for when it returns ..... Storm Shield.

docdapunta 5th December 2012 08:55 PM

Doc's Donkeys - Weekend Initial Contenders
 
Nice to hear that Barny. Was a little worried I had hijacked your post.

Below are the initial contenders for the weekend (just in case you want to launch an assault on Early Bird prices) :D

Art Thou Ready SR 5 no.1 (Fri)
Carmine King SR 7 no.4 (Fri)
Tariana MR 4 no.1
Signified BR 6 no.2
Racing Heart SR 6 no.14
Madam Nash SR 7 no.1
Number One Gun SR 8 no.10

I will post after final scratchings on Friday and Saturday.

docdapunta 7th December 2012 12:46 PM

Doc's Donkeys - Friday Night Dec 7
 
SR 5 no 1 - Art Thou Ready (Target $10) $2 Bet @ $6
SR 7 no 4 - Carmine King (Target $10) $2 Bet @ $6

Cheers

Doc

Barny 7th December 2012 01:25 PM

Please keep it going docdapunta, this will be a great lesson and done in real time. My money is on you showing a profit, but not until you're into starts 2, 3 and further becasue we need some ordinary form, increase in class, to increase the divs. I suspect early on you'll get winners but the divs will be disappointing.

doc's donkey's eh ??

Donkey walks into a bar and the barman says "Why the long face ??"

docdapunta 7th December 2012 01:58 PM

If that's the case, I'd love to hear suggestions for a staking plan we could use. With the plan of chasing a set amount per horse, larger dividends will just reduce the outlay. Plenty of time to discuss this as we come up with some results to look at.....

Cheers

Doc

evajb001 7th December 2012 03:49 PM

I have no idea if this would work but what if you did loss sharing? For example you got 4 horses your initially following call them Apple, Banana, Lemon and Melon. Apple is the first to run at $4 odds so you have to bet $3.33 to get your $10 profit, unfortunately Apple loses so you loss share:

The profit required on your next bets for all horses would be:

Apple: $10.83
Banana: $10.83
Lemon: $10.83
Melon: $10.83

(The $0.83 is from $3.33 / 4)

Next to run is Banana, follow the same process and so on. Like i've said I have no idea if this is actually viable or would work but my logical thinking is that even if 1 horse just doesn't seem to perform at all and you don't get that win your chasing, then at least you've shared the losses across other horses that you'd hope eventually will lead to that win to offset the losses.

Has anyone trialed something similar to this previously? purely just an idea i've came up with sitting here at the moment.


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