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-   -   Test a Neural Lay Method. (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=26116)

Rinconpaul 11th March 2013 06:27 AM

The Ocho - The Legend
 
Ocho I've cracked the DNA of your system, it's brilliant!
LG was spot on when he said you had a degree in DART. Mate you've revealed enough. I'm elevating you to the Hall of Fame. It's simple, has "balls", returns great Lay div's, enough to repay the occasional loss quickly.
Do no more, leave it in the vault, otherwise the 21YO Glenfiddich will be watered down to a Claytons.
Cheers RP

Lord Greystoke 11th March 2013 06:49 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rinconpaul
Ocho I've cracked the DNA of your system, it's brilliant!
LG was spot on when he said you had a degree in DART. Mate you've revealed enough. I'm elevating you to the Hall of Fame. It's simple, has "balls", returns great Lay div's, enough to repay the occasional loss quickly.
Do no more, leave it in the vault, otherwise the 21YO Glenfiddich will be watered down to a Claytons.
Cheers RP
I said he had a Doctorate! It is me who will be aiming for a degree.. one day.

Cheers LG

Rinconpaul 11th March 2013 07:40 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke
I said he had a Doctorate! It is me who will be aiming for a degree.. one day.

Cheers LG
My Lord, I have been a courtier more than 50 years and lay my hands upon your sword: never to speak of this that I have heard.
RP

Lord Greystoke 11th March 2013 08:05 AM

In the name of God,
St Michaelg and St Ocho..
I give you the right to spot patterns in your own name and the power
to yield profits from them.
Rise up, Sir Riconpaul !

LG

Rinconpaul 11th March 2013 08:16 AM

Protect him from supernatural trackings
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke
In the name of God,
St Michaelg and St Ocho..
I give you the right to spot patterns in your own name and the power
to yield profits from them.
Rise up, Sir Riconpaul !

LG
My Lord, with our ramblings, do you think we have done enough to conceal The Ocho's tracks, making it impossible to follow him by mundane means?
RP

Lord Greystoke 11th March 2013 08:28 AM

It is written.

LG

The Ocho 11th March 2013 08:29 AM

Thanks SIR Rinconpaul and Lord Greystoke for your comments and concerns. I will keep listing the selections for a little while longer (or at least until they fall in a hole).

Probably against my better judgement, I will start by laying these for $5 which will be a 1% stake of a $500 bank and also use ratchet staking which means the stakes don't drop down if there is a loss.

I'm still not sure of the best staking method - %staking (the $5 flat), Maria or Liability. There are pros and cons for them all such as giving up $30 if using liability for a $3 horse, etc.

As always, the pick only becomes a selection if it is $10 or under before the off.

Moonee Valley
2 4
8 7

Gosford
4 7
7 8

Morphettville
1 1
8 10
9 3

Orange
2 5
6 2
9 7

stugots 11th March 2013 03:44 PM

Tread carefully here guys, I ran this from the start of this year & while the last couple of weeks were very good overall it's losing around 20% according to my figures with Jan & Feb both heavy losers.

The only things I could see to improve it is to omit anything starting from barrier 7 or less. That cut it down to an average of less than 1 bet a day but profit ~ 50%.

Unfortunately I don't have tatts ratings going back any further, so really it's a fairly small sample of <400bets & doesn't include South Aust,Tas or QR meets.

Rinconpaul 11th March 2013 04:04 PM

Thanks for the heads up!
 
Quote:
Originally Posted by stugots
Tread carefully here guys, I ran this from the start of this year & while the last couple of weeks were very good overall it's losing around 20% according to my figures with Jan & Feb both heavy losers.

The only things I could see to improve it is to omit anything starting from barrier 7 or less. That cut it down to an average of less than 1 bet a day but profit ~ 50%.

I've been looking at it too, the loser today was rated 1st Fav in the default neurals, but then again four of the Lay winners from yesterday were to. The balance of Lay winners were not rated 1st Fav using default, CF, TM & CRS filters. So I'm wondering if applying the filter, "must not be rated 1st Fav using any neural filter or combination", would improve strike rate?
I don't know whether you have a neural database to experiment with Stugots? The other thing to consider is whether the losers were in clusters which makes recovery staking out of the question?
Cheers RP

stugots 11th March 2013 04:26 PM

No, no neural database Rinconpaul, & I am doubting any recovery plan would fair very well, for example 26jan to 9feb there were 3 winning days with total loss around 45units & a similar losing run in late feb.

Drop the <=7 barriers out & it looks ok but with such a small sample, who knows long term.


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