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-   -   Opening bookies prices (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=26403)

beton 5th May 2013 04:54 PM

This is why I need to have the data to do my own research. That way I can make sure that we are comparing apples with apples. When I compare quotes usually the best looking one is the one that is totally different.

beton 5th May 2013 05:45 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by trifectaric
email sent Beton

cheers Rick

Thanks Rick
Rather than reinvent the wheel has anybody got a spreadsheet that brings this into excel? Regards Beton

Rinconpaul 5th May 2013 06:44 PM

Beton, in my post yesterday,"Girls with Tatts" I highlighted the disparity between tote price and fixed price of the winner, $1.60 - $2.70. Have you or anyone ever considered this disparity as a pointer to the possible winner? Maybe you can program a bot to place a bet based on tote dropping to say 60% of fixed price. This way you would be free to do whatever else you want to do during the afternoon.
I never use the TAB so it might not be possible due to cutoff on fixed price bets, but it was just a thought.
With your proposed new research are you going to look for firmers or drifters as a signal? I remember a Forum quotation (CP, I think) based on records back to 2000 that 70% of winners were drifters in the market!
Cheers RP

beton 5th May 2013 08:00 PM

RP
My initial concern is to see the link between the opening prices and the starting prices and the ranking. If I can see link then I say Back this if x happens and lay this if y happens.

Rinconpaul 5th May 2013 09:26 PM

Another observation I have made is if you look at the pre post market, as per the Telegraph say, and think I'll program the bot to react to a particular price range for the pre post fav and I can leave to let the bot do it's work, you're probably 40% wrong as the pre post doesn't even start favourite! Some other horse starts favourite because the pros know who they think will win and take no notice of what the Telegraph says, they've got another agenda. Then the followers chase the leader and the tote price dives. Bingo you've got a winner. It only happens maybe 20% of the time where a horse is targeted this way. It's really a hunch or inkling on my part, other forumites can probably shed light.
RP

Lord Greystoke 6th May 2013 07:27 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rinconpaul
Some other horse starts favourite because the pros know who they think will win and take no notice of what the Telegraph says, they've got another agenda.
RP
Not always RP. Sometimes the pre-post gets it spot on and I enjoy the 'certainty' in these cases, if there is such a thing.

LG

SpeedyBen 6th May 2013 04:42 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rinconpaul
Beton, in my post yesterday,"Girls with Tatts" I
Cheers RP
Is that definitely Tatts, RP?


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