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-   -   Dutch Backing Longshots (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=26452)

stugots 15th May 2013 11:26 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rinconpaul
All good mate, $7,204 using BF Back prices less commission $6,736. But hang on this is for a $100 stake not $50? What's going on?
Cheers RP



my fried brain coming to the party?;)

Rinconpaul 15th May 2013 01:35 PM

Stugots, would have been a good day Monday at Dubbo, 240:1 Brave Jay got up. $1,306 for the day. Tuesday no good, a loss of $2,300. All $100 stake.
RP

stugots 15th May 2013 01:52 PM

Rinconpaul, if I get the time tonight I will run the last 12 months, but if my previous endevours in this area are anything to go by, it will not make for good reading.

Rinconpaul 15th May 2013 04:18 PM

Cheers mate. I'll tell you how lucky I am. I ran a test today with $5 bets Dutching >=$20. I had a couple of early wins but also a lot of losses so after losing $100 the bot was set to stop betting. It stopped betting just before a 42:1 shot got up at Sandown R8 and then a 100:1 Canterbury R7!!
Can you beleive it?
RP

tedbluegum 15th May 2013 04:56 PM

Dutch backing longshots
 
Hi Riconpaul

Can you provide the link to Betons spreadsheet if possible please?
Like you I am fairly new to the forums. I reckon your inputs have created a lot of new interest with different slants and ideas on dutching and lay betting. I am sure fellow forum members would agree.

Age has caught up with me but I am still having fun dabbling with dutching and lay betting following ideas from the more experienced punters like Stugots, Speedy and MG. I am sure I have missed numerous others.

Thanks Ted

stugots 15th May 2013 05:43 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rinconpaul
Cheers mate. I'll tell you how lucky I am. I ran a test today with $5 bets Dutching >=$20. I had a couple of early wins but also a lot of losses so after losing $100 the bot was set to stop betting. It stopped betting just before a 42:1 shot got up at Sandown R8 and then a 100:1 Canterbury R7!!
Can you beleive it?
RP



ooo yeah, the punting gods are a pack of **********;)

will post last 12 months results in the morning

Rinconpaul 15th May 2013 05:55 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by tedbluegum
Hi Riconpaul

Can you provide the link to Betons spreadsheet if possible please?
Like you I am fairly new to the forums. I reckon your inputs have created a lot of new interest with different slants and ideas on dutching and lay betting. I am sure fellow forum members would agree.

Age has caught up with me but I am still having fun dabbling with dutching and lay betting following ideas from the more experienced punters like Stugots, Speedy and MG. I am sure I have missed numerous others.

Thanks Ted

It's a thread called "first five statistics" January 2013. I'm going to embellish it tomorrow by inserting $ values in lieu of % to make it quicker to spot an under/overlay, which I'll post for anyone interested. Thanks against to Beton for providing the original.
Cheers RP

beton 15th May 2013 07:27 PM

Please remember that the sheet is "to tote" BF is different.

UselessBettor 15th May 2013 09:24 PM

Your much better off dutching all runners under $30 then all those over $30.

Rinconpaul 16th May 2013 04:38 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by UselessBettor
Your much better off dutching all runners under $30 then all those over $30.
UB, are you referenceing BF SP prices in this statement? What do you do if the dutching calculator runs out of profit before it gets down to the 29:1 shot, NO bet?
Why not Top & Tail it by Dutch Back < $30 and Lay >= $30?
I perceived there was more value in Backing the longer priced horses because they are massive overlays to the tote price or true chance of winning %?
Interested to hear your thoughts or confirmed stats UB, thanks. RP


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