Herbert Power Stakes winner Sea Moon is now exempt from the Caulfield Cup ballot & is a big firmer for this race

Can't win !!

Final Acceptances pre barrier draw
 

No Horse Trainer Jockey Weight
1 Manighar Peter G Moody Luke Nolen 58.0
2 Dandino Marco Botti Craig Williams 56.5
3 Ethiopia Pat Carey Rhys Mcleod 56.5
4 Waldpark Anthony Freedman Brenton Avdulla 56.0
5 Glencadam Gold Gai Waterhouse Tommy Berry 55.5
6 Mr Moet Adam Durrant Hugh Bowman 55.5
7 Fawkner Robert Hickmott Nicholas Hall 55.0
8 Jet Away David Hayes Damien Oliver 55.0
9 Kelinni Chris Waller Steven Arnold 55.0
10 Moriarty Chris Waller Craig Newitt 55.0
11 My Quest For Peace Peter G Moody Corey Brown 55.0
12 Hawkspur Chris Waller Jim Cassidy 54.5
13 Julienas Gai Waterhouse Kerrin Mcevoy 54.5
14 Mr O’ceirin Ciaron Maher Dwayne Dunn 54.5
15 Silent Achiever Roger James Glen Boss 54.5
16 Royal Descent Chris Waller Nash Rawiller 54.0
17 Tuscan Fire Dan O’sullivan Luke Currie 53.5
18 Dear Demi Clarry Conners James Mcdonald 53.0
19 (EM1) Forgotten Voice Nicky Henderson Brett Prebble 54.5
20 (EM2) Sneak A Peek Peter G Moody TBA 54.0
21 (EM3) Ibicenco Peter G Moody TBA 54.0
22 (EM4) Oasis Bloom Peter Morgan & Craig Widdison TBA 51.5

Yeah (lol) didn't accept

Barriers
 

4 of the last 10 winners have drawn outside 12 so the barrier is not critical. Barrier 1 has not provided a winner in the last 30 years. Good luck, Kellini.

Didn't do that well prior 10 winners, can only add another 2

According to my stats only 5 horses have carried more than 54.5kg in the past 30 years & won the Cup

A fair few of those 5 are recent times though? Are the overseas horses impacting the weights and reducing that bias?

Certainly would cut down the chances if that bias carries through today!

A lot more northern hemisphere visitors in recent times