Then wouldn't the result therefore be random ?

previous runs in the cup

Cheers LG

With the exception of Fiorente that has been true since the wonder mare.

thanks for clarification.

I see that Red Cadeaux is back for another crack. What a warrior he is, lining up in distance races all over the world and being competitive in most of them.

How you going with finding those rules, UB?

Yeah I found the the other day and posting here from memory as I don't have them with me.

They were basically

1. 56.5Kg and under
2. Win strike rate min 1%
3. place strike rate min 35%
4. Ran within last 3-17 days. 17 days = Caulfield Cup day
5. Age 4-7
6. Exclude barrier 1

There was another one which I think was around odds range of $4- $51 but could be wrong on the exact odds.

This generally gives you a cut down list on contenders which you can then take a look at or you can dutch bet.

Just looking quickly it would give the following

Junoob
Who Shot the barman
Brambles
Au Revior
Opinion
Alraldo
Lucia Valentina
Signoff

Here we go
 

Only two horses have survived my history based rules this year. The last time it happened they ran 1 -2.

No 22 Lucia Valentina
No 24 Signoff

Thanks Speedy. I had worked your rules this morning and got the same selections so it's good to see you confirm it. I have been a believer since you put me into Green Moon! And ever grateful!

Thanks Rails. The original rules have worked every year since 2008. In a stroke of genius I added another rule last year which excluded Fiorente. It's probably a good rule long term but it doesn't affect anything this year.