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-   -   Staking Plan using variable percentage. (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=3677)

Shaun 14th November 2003 09:32 AM

Crash....for once we agree totaly.....if i look at a race and make my own decissions on the race then i don't care what the price is saying if i have accessed it at being a 3/1 chance

puntz 14th November 2003 10:21 AM



[ This Message was edited by: puntz on 2003-11-26 18:31 ]

stebbo 14th November 2003 11:44 AM

Hi All,

after finally finding the time, I have run this proportional staking plan throo my simulator. I have used the same 1049 bets that I used in another thread. For reference, flat stakes performance is

1049 bets, 231 wins at 22% S/R
$400 profit at 38% POT.
LRO 20
MaxDD $39.40 (9.8% of profit).

All staking plans below have a starting bank of $1000, a minimum bet of 50c and a maximum bet of $500

Using Bhagwan's plan the performance is

$3124.20 Profit.
AveBet size =$13.58
MaxDD = $549.50 (15% of profit).

Using a staking plan of 5% of bank (increasing and decreasing at the start of the day), with no regard for starting price, the performance is

$20,010 profit
Ave Bet = $50.
MaxDD = $1,970 (10% of profit)

Using a staking plan of 1% of highest bank, non reducing, with no regard for starting price, the performance is

$38,321 profit
Ave Bet = $123
MaxDD = $13,306 (34% of profit)

Cheers,
Chris.

[ This Message was edited by: stebbo on 2003-11-14 12:45 ]

crash 14th November 2003 04:48 PM


Me 'twisted' Puntz ? You mean you only just found that out ?

Bailing out of this one it's getting all too theoretical for this poor boy.

Cheers.


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