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-   -   Late mail (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=3852)

lomaca 12th May 2009 07:17 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chrome Prince
It was a bumper day ;)
betting the other end of the market I wholeheartedly agree![img]images/icons/icon7.gif[/img]

lomaca 12th May 2009 07:19 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chrome Prince
It was a bumper day ;)
betting the other end of the market I wholeheartedly agree!

Bhagwan 15th May 2009 12:14 PM

Here's something that should work on Laying the Late mail selections .

Lay all late mail selections priced 3.50-5.90
That way we are avoiding the really hot Favs.

Level stakes.

This idea also works well if targeting the *(star specials) as indicated with an asterisk next to the UniTAB tipsters selection numbers shown at the top .

Target both tipsters shown at the top where asterisk (*star bets) are shown next to their top selection .

Their SR is less than 20% ,at really low odds, which is surprising seeing that it is less than the std Fav SR.

Cheers.

Chrome Prince 16th May 2009 03:14 PM

Seems to me, they have days when they are hot on the money and then days when they are off the boil completely.

I wonder if the Late Mail information comes from different bookies?

Today they scored

Midnight Mustang @ $6.60
Wallinger @ $2.50
Driffield gold $1.90

So they are already in profit for Flemington.

Chrome Prince 16th May 2009 05:09 PM

Holy Guacamole!

Add Gold Salute @ $13.50 and Shocking @ $2.30

8 late mails at Flemington for a return of $26.80

18.80 units profit or a lowly 235% POT

But when it's hot, it's hot, when it's not - it's woeful.

All the other States performed very very badly.

I think this one is a definite lay til you cop a winner and back as soon as a winner is struck.
Not because of staking, but because some days the mail gets lost, and other days it's express post.

Chrome Prince 20th May 2009 12:20 PM

Watch the Late Mail at Sandown today, as they've led off with a winner.

It seems to go in patches, so when it's on song it pays to follow if something is at decent odds.

Bhagwan 22nd May 2009 10:23 AM

I feel if one tries to stay within the price band mentioned 3.50-5.90

One wont be so exposed to such anomalies that do happen in racing.

Thanks for your findings & input Chrome its all very interesting & informative.

Cheers.

Chrome Prince 22nd May 2009 11:07 AM

Well it didn't follow the pattern the other day.

I'm looking at another angle for Late Mail, because they do get some nice priced winners, but only when they're on the boil, when they go cold they're right off.

I really do believe they are getting the Late Mail from different sources each day, or they are getting a mix of Late Mail, so they look good, but not too good.

This is just hypothesis, but nothing else could explain how spot on they are some days, and how way off they are others.

partypooper 24th May 2009 12:56 AM

Gotta agree Chrome, I've been operating a secondry place only plan for 3 years basically based on Late mail (or at least dependant on it) very sucessfully until a horror run that ends all horror runs like it WAS TOO BAD TO BE TRUE, I baled out at the point of break even ( 3 years work).

Re looked at it and saw that it was STILL profitable with all the usual filters, but the T/O suffering as usual................ frustrating isn't it??? Grrrrr!

Chrome Prince 25th May 2009 02:00 PM

I'm more convinced than ever that there is a very good angle to this whole Late Mail thingamajiggy.
They do not stand up on their own, but perhaps in conjunction....

A work in progress.


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