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-   -   AFL round 7 (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=4792)

Floydyboy 9th May 2004 07:33 PM

My formula goes something like this;
St Kilda ..They beat Lions last week and a rippa 4th quarter at that..
Now heres the crucial part
.. They're paying 2.50 ....and 4.30 on the margin ...My brain says Jeezus guts i gotta have a bit of that and my guts says yep so i have 50 a win and 20 on the margin
Sorry champ ive got no idea what the figures mean^ no disrespect meant just being lightheaerted had a fairly good weekend
Hope the rest of you did as well its nice to right occassionally

moeee 9th May 2004 09:59 PM

For clarities sake,I have converted my earlier formula into English because it is very useful for those that are in it to win it.

Once you've decided how much the team will win by,do this.

Price = 0.955 to the power of the margin plus one.

And the only reason punters win,regardless of selection methods,is they are getting overs.
Not necessarily (how do you spell that?)on an event,but over time.

Desi 10th May 2004 02:37 PM

Yes, apologies Moeee, good call with the Saints...they are definitely a good team and unfortunately, I'm always laying off against them...

My AFL picking has been ************ ordinary but there are definitely lots of opportunities ot make money from solid bets in this game in comparison with other sports...

Good luck with the handicapping and punting!


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