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-   -   ORIGINAL AHJAY REVISITED. (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=5902)

darkydog2002 23rd June 2008 10:35 AM

This one in its original form I remember making $1600 profit for the year I used it ( using the 6 point divisor staking plan )

Wonder whether some of us would like to flash it up a bit.

Cheers.
darky

Crackone 23rd June 2008 11:15 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by darkydog2002
This one in its original form I remember making $1600 profit for the year I used it ( using the 6 point divisor staking plan )Cheers.
darky
Why did you stop using it?

darkydog2002 24th June 2008 11:10 AM

I got a bit bored using it.
Strange I know but true.

Cheers.
darky.

crash 24th June 2008 05:19 PM

The system turned into a dog with a big run of outs.

crash 25th June 2008 06:53 AM

The above was only a guess [I forgot the bracketed question mark], but probably not far wrong.

I wonder why the wheels fall off [most] systems after a certain while?
I had one going great guns for 2yrs and suddenly it just went from one run of outs to another ! Generally 3 mths. seems to be an average success rate. Perhaps it's the changing seasons?

darkydog2002 25th June 2008 11:34 AM

Actually the run of outs was quite moderate whilst I used it though it may have fallen down later without my knowledge.

It certainly could be improved upon with sound logical principles common to most winners.
i.e Class horses in the top weight brackets.

Good jockeys and sound apprentices
Horses who lead or race on the pace ( especially at the distances specified by Ahjay)
Good win % ers
Top 4 Place %
Won over Distance and prevalent Track Conditions.

etc etc

Now there,s the bare bones of a system in itself.

Cheers.
darky

crash 26th June 2008 07:43 AM

Yes, you could make up quite a few systems based around that and a lot of other criteria Darky, but my point was about why do initially successful systems mostly fall over? It's seems a bit of a mystery.

jacfin 26th June 2008 01:09 PM

Why do they crash, Crash?
 
My theory, for what it's worth, is a mathematical phenomenon called Regression to the mean. I'm sure you are ahead of me here but it means that when we spot a profitable trend it is an anomaly and the flaw corrects itself, often sooner rather than later.
I only operate one system these days which is based on bookies prices as a starting point so it is not really a rigid set of rules.

crash 26th June 2008 02:54 PM

Hi jacfin, like you I only bet one system now, but on the dogs. It's based on the chaos theory [which seems to suit the dogs]. It work most of the time, but not always.

peterpan 26th June 2008 03:35 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by jacfin
I only operate one system these days which is based on bookies prices as a starting point so it is not really a rigid set of rules.
jacfin,
The only way to go, I've been doing it for years.
I have the occasional rough trot but overall very consistent, and has been for a very long time.


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