Yes Cliftonarms I can access the winning percentage of boxes at most tracks.
But still doesn't help me with my question because the starting price of the dog in those boxes is what I'm interested in.
I know box 1 wins the most,but it usually starts the shortest price.

I have one that I would like you to try out when you get the time:

1. Dog is in Box 1
2. Has been 1st in 2 of 3 last starts
3. Has been 1st or 2nd in last 2 starts
4. Pre-post <= 3.00 (if you don't have Pre-post info then try SP < 2.5)

Thanks

Justinfront

Tested your idea, the results are:
Races tested =9924, Criteria satisfied = 611, Winners =103, Place = 44

Thanks very much cliftonarms.
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[ This Message was edited by: justinfront on 2004-10-04 02:53 ]

puntersteve


For 5346 races meeting this criteria, 652 won and 816 wer placed.

gizzard

What is the differenc ebtween rule 2 and 3 of your system ?

Cheers cliftonarms.

This is all very well,but I can go to the Casino and play roulette and possibly pick 380 winners out of 800 selections and will definately come out losing.
Win rate is irrelevant unless you associate it with a percentage profit on turnover!

You are quite correct Moee and in this example I ran it with the odds as well with one unit bet per race. The system tested cam out with a 3200 loss. a bank buster.

I'm using http://www.bookiebusters.net/discus...html?1096989856 now if you wish me to test another system.

The rules again:

1. Dog is in Box 1
2. Has been 1st in 2 of 3 last starts
3. Has been 1st or 2nd in last 2 starts
4. Pre-post <= 3.00 (if you don't have Pre-post info then try SP < 2.5)

Yes, you are right that they are similar so let me give examples:
Rule 2, looking at last 3 starts where '0' is any place except 1st
101 ok - 1st in 2 of last 3
110 ok
011 ok
111 not ok
All others not ok

Rule 3, we only care about last 2 starts:
11 ok
12 ok
21 ok
22 ok
All others are not ok

So, if you combine these rules 2 and 3:
011 ok (where 0 is any place except 1st)
112 ok
121 ok

These are the only 3 criteria that meet the 2 rules.
Hope that helps
If you are able to check the results, can you provide the Win%, Place% and Return% based on SP too?



[ This Message was edited by: gizzard on 2004-10-13 21:06 ]