OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums

OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/index.php)
-   Sports and Gambling (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=6)
-   -   Dog Data Required.... (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=6296)

BJ 21st November 2004 04:34 PM

Quote:
On 2004-11-16 15:08, woof43 wrote:
Hi this is the table of percentages for dogs racing the first column is the probs an the second column details the % of actual winners vs the combined % of each percentile group.
So the nearer to 100% the better.
the .5 group contains all starters that were shorter then .5 on the tote, the .45 group contains all starters below .5 an above .45
Hope this helps in some way.
If you can develop your own probs you will quickly find the percentile bands that you need to invest in without doing too much work.


Probs% actual win %
0.5 92.3%
0.45 65.0%
0.4 84.3%
0.35 89.5%
0.3 63.1%
0.25 91.8%
0.2 86.0%
0.15 89.5%
0.1 108.7%
0.05 79.3%
0.025 65.3%



[ This Message was edited by: woof43 on 2004-11-16 15:14 ]


Thanks woof for trying but I don't really understand.
Is the percentage representing money returns or win percentage? ( I find it hard to understand how 0.1 wins 108% of the time.. )

What I am after is:
Total number of races;
Number of races where the winner paid <$10

Also the same for where the winner paid <$9
and so on down to $2.

woof43 22nd November 2004 04:15 PM

Ok, what the 108% means is that for all starters that have a SP between .15($6.66) an .10($10.00) for every expected 100 winners in that price range the actuality is 108 win.
I shouldn't need to say too much more on another Unhandicapping strategy

moeee 22nd November 2004 06:52 PM

Woofa.
Does that mean if I had a $100 on each of those selections at starting price,I would have made 8% profit?


All times are GMT +10. The time now is 10:28 PM.

Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.