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-   -   CADBURY GUINEAS - 1600M [Group 1] 12 Mar 05 - Flemington (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=7911)

Tenacious Spirit 10th March 2005 12:00 PM

Oh and i agree with you also Mr. Ed, Niconero, racing brilliantly, also good e/w.

Hmmmm, thats 7 i have listed, not going too well with this one.

Mr ed 10th March 2005 01:04 PM

Haha don't think so Paddy, Always a good idea when you know a horse is running in a big race like this to get on before they accept.

nutz 10th March 2005 11:16 PM

Savabeel
Econsul
Al Maher
Shinzig

Kingston Rule 11th March 2005 06:44 AM

(1) Savabeel
(2) Econsul
(8) Danehill Express
(9) Niconero

brave chief 11th March 2005 09:33 AM

My Ratings
 
Niconero $6.00
Al Maher $6.67
Danehill Express $6.67
Savabeel $7.50
Barely a Moment $7.50
Classiconi $12.00
Russian Charm $20.00
Econsul $30.00
Luitenant $60.00

Very open race in my book with 9 of the 11 starters having an assessed price. I'm taking Savabeel on somewhat, as I believe he is better over 2000m+, so he has not been assessed on his projected peak of 73.

Niconero perhaps has more scope for improvement than any other horse in this race. My gut feeling is he's the one they all have to beat and is currently great value at $13.00.

Al Maher has a projected peak of 69. Just a shame he couldn't hang on last week for me in an easier race :(

Danehill Express is projected to 69, and i'll be very disappointed if he doesn't do it here. About time Olly hit some form too, he's been way below par.

Savabeel is assessed on 69 as well over 1600m, a grade below his expected peak. 3/1 may be the best bookies will offer on Saturday, so I have to bet against him here.

Barely a Moment may provide some value as well. Has a projected peak of 68 and Boss on board. Genuine chance.

Classiconi also has a projected peak of 68, but has an outside barrier.

Tenacious Spirit 11th March 2005 10:20 AM

Niconero represents outrageous value in anyones language. In such an even race i might have something on him. Al Maher seems to have a lot of improvement left aswell. I agree that savabeel will want longer, but it is hard to discount such a class horse. A few others are mixing their form and it wouldn;t shock whether they won or lost.

purpleheart68 11th March 2005 10:23 AM

Given the obvious class edge,Savabeel should win this with a leg in the air.Am hoping gamble against it,but doubt that very much.More suitable distance than last start.Being an old digger,I am putting Leiutenant in for the quin.

pop 11th March 2005 11:33 AM

1 SAVABEEL **
10 RUSSIAN CHARM
8 DANEHILL EXPRESS
2 ECONSUL

maverick1993 11th March 2005 12:41 PM

Danehill Express.
Savabeel
Barely a Moment
Classiconi

The DE will get the nice sit 2 back on the inside and come out and win..has been crying out for this distance..
The video of Classiconi's run the other was good..has the outside barrier but shouldn't worry him and a confident jockey on board...hmmm i might have a go at him if the odds stay juicy..

Svenvlad 11th March 2005 12:58 PM

Niconero*
Al Maher
Cargo Cult
Savabeel


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