Current fixed odds market
 

No. Selection Win

003 Alinghi $1.85
001 Fastnet Rock $2.60
009 Not a Single Doubt $11.00
007 Foreplay $13.00
002 Special Harmony $26.00
006 Don't Tell Tom $26.00
004 Keeninsky $34.00
008 General Bayton $41.00
010 Our Quivira $51.00
005 Danbird $101.00

Wow I thought Alinghi might have been a little better than that. Was that the opening odds?

Not a Single Doubt
Foreplay
Fastnet Rock
Alinghi

(3) Alinghi
(1) Fastnet Rock
(9) Not a Single Doubt
(8) General Bayton

I know you will all think I'm crazy(and your right!)but I am backing Special Harmony e/w in this.I know it looks a match race between Alinghi and the Rock,but good quality staying types can often sprint well fresh,and I just can't resist the odds!Also concerned about Damien,he seems to have lost his confidence,or something.

9 NOT A SINGLE DOUBT
1 FASTNET ROCK
4 KEENINSKY
7 FOREPLAY

Hey Purpleheart I don't think you're crazy I'll be taking those odds if I can get them too.

Special Harmoney has won 2 of 4 first-up starts, has won 2 from 4 over the distance and has a 40%-win 100%-place strike rate at Flemington over 5 starts. These figures tell a great story at odds of $25/1.

My Ratings
 

Alinghi $2.67
Fastnet Rock $6.67
Not A Single Doubt $6.67
Foreplay $6.67
Special Harmony $26.67
General Bayton $26.67

I won't get my price about Alinghi, so this will be for interest only as far as I'm concerned.

For what it's worth Alinghi's projected rating is 73, which I first thought would make here a genuine odds-on chance in this race. Fastnet's projected rating is 75, but the other 2 3yo's Not a Single Doubt and Foreplay both now have projected ratings of 70 because of their continued improvement. Considering they get 2.5 kg of Alinghi and 6 kg of Fastnet Rock, they are in this up to their ears.

I agree that Oliver has been very disappointing this Autumn. He's had the right horses, drawn good barriers, but isn't producing the goods.

No Runner Jockey Win Place
3 Alinghi DAMIEN OLIVER 1.90 0.00
1 Fastnet Rock G.BOSS 2.60 0.00
9 Not A Single Doubt S.BASTER 9.00 0.00
7 Foreplay N.RYAN(A) 11.00 0.00
6 Don't Tell Tom S.SEAMER 21.00 0.00
2 Special Harmony S.KING 34.00 0.00
4 Keeninsky D.GAUCI 34.00 0.00
8 General Bayton B.FENECH 41.00 0.00
10 Our Quivira B.SHINN(A) 51.00 0.00
5 Danbird M.PEGUS 101.00 0.00

Special Harmony fans will be happy with 33/1.

Colin Tidy has Alinghi at $2.00 and Fastnet at $3.00 currently. Those 2 may be easing.

Lovely weight drop for NOT A SINGLE DOUBT. A lot to like about his last few runs.

ALINGHI loves this distance and track, great win in the Sangster.

FASTNET ROCK back from spell with a vengeance has been getting to the line extra well.

KEENINSKY could be a smoky. Last win in extra smart time over the 1200m in NZ.