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-   -   Races (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=9011)

davez 1st May 2005 06:40 PM

xptdriver
 
have to agree with most you said xpt, other than the hurdles/steeplechase & wfa races, also not a big fan of class 6 races, either metro or provincial, they are usualy made up of some very ordinary types.

benny, as to your list of races to exclude i would suggest still considering a bet in large fields if you are keen on your selection & it isnt drawn too poorly. also with races >2000m i find my best results come from those horses toward the top of the weights.

Chuck 1st May 2005 07:04 PM

i am another one who only does Saturdays and Public Holidays only do Sydney + Melbourne in great detail. And that was just for my system selections

i'll give you my reasoning for the races in a seperate post

Chuck 1st May 2005 08:05 PM

well this is my reasoning - bear in mind my system (i've got 2) revolves around fitness.

Hurdles/Steeples: Racing is too irregular to study fitness

Maidens: No previous winning history to show when they're at their peak

2YO Handicap: Minimal or no form to calculate judgement

3YO Fillies: Races generally spread apart trained differently to Colts and Geldings. Fitness becaomes partly guesswork

Mares: Mostly race in open class races and the older they get the more reliable they become.

WFA: The best horses win them. Races are so spread apart that you can't get fitness again

Classes: How can you consistently make a profit backing poor quality horses


GOOD RACES:

Fixed Weight Open 2YO
Fixed Weight Open 3YO up to 1600m
Class 6 or better only 1600m
Welters
Open Handicaps through to Group 1
Quality Handicaps

xptdriver 2nd May 2005 08:21 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chuck
well this is my reasoning - bear in mind my system (i've got 2) revolves around fitness.

SNIPPED
Classes: How can you consistently make a profit backing poor quality horses

SNIPPED


You can make the profits by trying to take the overs on horses you have rated in Sub standard class races... as I have said somewhere else, they all pay the same... But, I am not gunna bag someone if their way of doing things work, more power to them.. For me I reckon ya gotta have a paddle in the water is all..


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