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-   -   Down In Distance. (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=9285)

michaelg 20th May 2005 10:53 AM

One selection today:

Unplaced last start.
Mackay R1 no.2 - Lord Grange ($2.20)

No Sprint selections today.

davez 20th May 2005 09:25 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
Davez, you've confirmed what we suspected about the sprint races.

And from today's two "sprint" selections, the first won ($1.50 and $1.10) and the other ran second ($1.20) in their respective races. As the shorter priced nags have a terrible "lay" record I'll list any future selections ($3.50 pre-post and under) here as they might be worth backing each way? We'll see how they go.



hmm, actually michaelg i was saying the exact opposite - these nags have a terrible "win" & "place" record, & have had for as long as i have followed this game.

as for backing them eachway, i am sure there are quicker way to the poorhouse, but not too many.

laying them, well the only things i usually lay have 2 legs, big jugs & blond hair, & thats the extent of my knowledge on that subject.

i guess all i was trying to get across is that a horse dropping in distance & not in great form is still just a horse not in great form racing over a lesser distance. whether todays distance is going to suit, or whether the nag is fitter, etc, etc, etc, well that becomes a judgement call. but i never touch them & am the richer for it.

michaelg 21st May 2005 08:15 AM

Hi, Davez. I misunderstood your posting - I thought you were avoiding lays on sprint races as they had a good record of winning. I'll still record them because hopefully the pre-post price might have a positive impact.

No Lay selections today.

One Sprint selection.
Cheltenham R6 no.1 - Sparkling Now.

michaelg 22nd May 2005 10:35 AM

Four selections today;

Placed last start.
Sun Coast R7 no.1 - Perdee
Hobart R5 no.1 - Full Stop
Hobart R7 no.6 - Mimosa Willow
Kalgoorlie R4 no.4 - Star Of Telesto

Yesterday's sprint selection was unfortunately unplaced. I think it missed the start, which was probably the reason for its loss?
One selection today:
Sun Coast R6 no.1 - Mt Gower.

michaelg 23rd May 2005 10:33 AM

There was one winner of $2.60 from yesterday's four selections.

There have been 10 selections over the past seven days for 2 winners, paying $2.70 and $2.60.

No selections today. However, Dubbo R3 no.9 would have been a selection but it is a Maiden race.

Yesterday's Sprint selection ran third, paying $1.40.

michaelg 24th May 2005 10:48 AM

No selections today.

michaelg 25th May 2005 10:32 AM

Two selections today:

Unplaced last start
Balaklava R1 no.2 - Tonlyn Spirit ($3.50)

Placed
Belmont R5 no.3 - Holy Bounty ($2.20)

One Sprint selection:
Balaklava R7 no.2 - Gold On Gold.

michaelg 26th May 2005 10:50 AM

A good day yesterday - both selections lost, and the Sprint selection won paying $3.00 and $1.40.

Two selections today:
Placed last start.
Northam R8 no.6 - Stone Man ($3.50)

Unplaced.
Rocky R7 no.7 - She's Decent ($3.00)

No sprint selections.

michaelg 27th May 2005 10:25 AM

Yesterday our Placed Last Start selection won, paying $6.10 even though it was $3.50 pre-post. That's the problem - it's almost impossible to predict the eventual fave especially in the larger fields. There have now been 8 selections for two winners paying a total of $9.70.

There have been 6 Unplaced Last Start selections for one winner paying $2.70.

One selection today:
Unplaced Last Start
Casino R5 no.1 - Bumper's Smile ($3.00)

michaelg 28th May 2005 08:37 AM

I think I'll stop testing the system as it seems it might not be profitable.


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