Tenacious,,,i'll be risking Ballet Society...i think this race will have to much pressure for her..i wasnt totally convinced of her last win..River to the Sea should of probably won and if he starts in this hes a 100/1 shot..
i know shes classy you just have to look at her record ..but i have to put a line through some of them,,can't back them all :) i think the last 50m will sort her out..

I agree Angel...OER has a big show..i think shes a 1200m horse that can run a bit longer through sheer class..if she draws a barrier she'll be sitting just off the pace and could win this....i doubt her in the last 50m as well but i'll have her in the multis...the Mr Begg is very confident..

OER is hard to have for a place anyday but she just absolutely refuses to win a race just will not do it I have no idea what the reason is but she has moved up to win so many big races only to seemingly throw in the towel.

AAMI STRADBROKE 1400 M
Of $1020000 Of $1000000 and $20000 trophies. First $680000 and trophies of $15000 to owner $2500 to trainer $2500 to jockey, second $180000, third $80000, fourth $40000, fifth $20000. (GROUP 1). (Weights Raised 1kg.) No allowances for apprentices. Field Limit: 20+4 EM
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
No. Horse Trainer Jockey Barr Wgt Pen
1 YELL John Hawkes S Galloway 2 56
2 DANCE HERO Gai Waterhouse C Munce 18 55
3 OUR EGYPTIAN RAINE (NZ) Grahame Begg H Bowman 17 55
4 PATEZZA Guy Walter D Nikolic 24 55
5 SEDECREM (NZ) Richard Yuill D Whyte 10 55
6 SHAMEKHA Gai Waterhouse D Beadman 4 54.5
7 HIDDEN DRAGON Oliver Koolman L Cassidy 9 54
8 TAKEOVER TARGET Joe Janiak J Ford 23 54
9 CONSULAR Bill Baker D Dunn 11 53.5
10 WINNING BELLE (NZ) Gai Waterhouse D Beasley 14 53.5
11 ST. BASIL (NZ) Bevan Laming M J Cahill 20 53
12 SKY CUDDLE Peter G Moody A Pattillo 15 52.5
13 PERFECT PROMISE (SAF) Grahame Begg S Seamer 13 52
14 PROUDLY AGRO Barry Bowditch G Palmer 8 52
15 ENTHUSIAST John Wallace B El-Issa 1 51.5
16 BALLET SOCIETY (NZ) Pat Hyland Steven King 5 51
17 SHOW BIZ KID Ron Macrae G Boss 21 51
18 WAGER Gai Waterhouse B Shinn (a) 16 50.5
19 WITH MY Bruce McLachlan M Rice 6 50.5
20 OUR SWEET MOSS Gerald Ryan T Treichel 7 49.5
21E DEUXIEME Bryan Guy 19 51
22E RIVER TO THE SEA Diane Poidevin-Laine 3 50.5
23E SHABLEC Richard Jolly 22 50.5
24E DOONAN Helen Page 12 48.5

Geez the barriers have mixed things up a bit now with St.Basil, Patezza and Show Biz Kid all drawing woefully all which I did fancy Consular drew ok at 11 and another I thought might have gotten a bit better chance at the race after the draw was Sedecrem with the addition of Whyte and a decent barrier at 10 I think this horse might be pretty damn good e/w value.

19807 * BALLET SOCIETY $5.50
19856 * PATEZZA $7.00
19892 * TAKEOVER TARGET $8.00
19886 * ST BASIL $10.00
19875 * SHAMEKHA $11.00
19815 * DANCE HERO $13.00
19812 * CONSULAR $14.00
19902 * WINNING BELLE $16.00
19821 * ENTHUSIAST $18.00
19854 * OUR SWEET MOSS $18.00
19852 * OUR EGYPTIAN RAINE $21.00
19877 * SHOW BIZ KID $21.00
19858 * PERFECT PROMISE $31.00
19863 * PROUDLY AGRO $41.00
19873 * SEDECREM $41.00
19900 * WAGER $41.00
19904 * YELL $41.00
19879 * SKY CUDDLE $61.00
19903 * WITH MY $61.00
19817 * DEUXIEME (1E) $71.00
19832 * HIDDEN DRAGON $71.00
19907 * RIVER TO THE SEA (2E) $81.00
19820 * DOONAN (4E) $201.00
19874 * SHABLEC (3E) $201.00

The barrier draws are interesting..
Brings Shameka back into calculations..
but what it does is help rule out a few..Dance Hero will find it to tough..
and OER will be struggling aswell..

Winning belle won't be worried about the barrier,,

Enthusiast is interesting...he'll lead and if he can slow them down..he'll be hard to catch..i doubt he'll get his own way as wager will come across and hassle him,.,...Our Sweet Moss and Ballet Society look like they'll be just off these 2 with good runs..
with My with no weight could be roughie with a show...has no weight and will be closer than usual ..great run a few starts ago testing Glamour Puss,,

alot to think about here :)

Ill take winning belle at 16-1 all day long. I really like this mare, in my opinion it outways the others by far at this distance, class will prevail.
Thats where my money is anyway!

Enthusiast
 

Hi Guys

What show Enthusiast? I got on him here in NZ at $60's. St Basil's got a start so must have a show Mav. Pretty damn hard to pick the winner.

Eroyd

From Thoroughbred News Australia - "For over 30 years, the barrier draw seems to have made little effect on the result of the AAMI Stradbroke."

Careful guys.

Patezza too good.
Shamekha she'll be there at some stage.

Deuxieme(if starts) and st basil to flash home