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michaelg 13th August 2005 08:18 AM

Hi, Kiwi. Unfortunately my form guide did not show a jockey for Kandinski, nor did the neural site. Yet they gave the jockey a high neural rating without even knowing who he was.

Let's hope today will cover yesterday's loss - of the two selections none won, and one placed paying $1.40.

Eight selections today.
Rosehill R7 no.3 - Collate
Newcastle R5 no.5 - Crique
Toowoomba R3 no.2 - Dance cafe
Toowoomba R7 no.15 - Orpen All Hours
Port Mac R6 no.1 - Mafia Don
Belmont R3 no.1 - Daka's Gem
Belmont R4 no.1 - James The Jet
Belmont R5 no.3 - The Little Tacker

michaelg 14th August 2005 10:06 AM

After a scratching there were seven starters yesterday. Four winners for a return of $7.90, and six placegetters for a return of $8.30.

Four selections today.
Casino R8 no.3 - La Baladine
Narromine R7 no.4 - Spy Zaim
Sun Coast R3 no.6 - Golden Dollars
Mildura R1 no.2 - Mad Mo.

kiwi 14th August 2005 12:20 PM

Onya Michael that's an impreeive strike rate for both win and place.:)

michaelg 15th August 2005 10:36 AM

Hi, Kiwi.

It has worked well for Wednesday and Saturday races, even before I slightly altered the criteria. Other days it has only been average. So from today I will keep the method unchanged for Wed and Saturdays only, but will again slightly alter the selection process for the other days which in hindsight would have eliminated a few losers.

Two selections today.
Nowra R1 no.2 - Prettify
Nowra R7 no.2 - Fairy Blitz.

Almost system.
Corowa R2 no.1 - Frisky Frisko

The difference between both systems is that the original selects only those whose last race was less than 14 days, whilst the Almost system is for those whose last race was 14 days ago.

michaelg 16th August 2005 10:05 AM

The two selections won yesterday. One paying $1.30 (it was odds-against in the pre-post market) and the other paid $4.00 for the win, and $1.10 and $1.70 for the place. The Almost selection won paying $1.50 and $1.00 - it was also odds-against in the pre-post.

One selection today.
Rocky R2 no.5 - Flip Hose.

One Almost selection.
Tamworth R1 no.3 - Fox'n On.

Stix 16th August 2005 11:51 AM

Michael

Good work mate, how's ur 7 units a week going.... got a summary of your progress fella !!

Yours In Punting

Stix

michaelg 16th August 2005 03:30 PM

Hi, Stix.

Unfortunately I deleted my records from Sunday. However I retained the previous Wed and Saturday because the rules were unchanged for those two days. There were 12 races for 7 winners paying a total of $17.50, and 11 placings for $16.20.

Yesterday I changed the rules slightly for the other five days as the class of horse is inferior. There have been 3 races for 2 winners paying $5.30, the two placegetters paying $2.80 for a slight loss. Also, the Almost system has produced two selections for two winners paying a total of $4.80, and $2.40 for the place.

I have bet a 1 x 3 basis on each selection - plus those selections from the previous Thurs, Fri and Sunday which have had a slight loss. Overall I am showing a good profit. Hopefully it will continue.

michaelg 17th August 2005 10:12 AM

Yesterday's selection was unplaced, the Almost selection won paying $3.30 and $1.40.

One selection today.
Moonee valley R1 no.4 - Classic Benbarra.

The Almost selections. I have no records for Wednesdays and Saturdays, so I can only be hopeful.
Warwick Farm R2 no.2 - Sun Song
Warwick Farm R3 no.6 - Scission
Warwick Farm R5 no.1 - Coolroom Candidate
Warwick Farm R5 no.4 - Ultra Star
Cheltenham R3 no.10 - Latigra.

michaelg 18th August 2005 10:08 AM

Not the best of days yesterday. The selection was unplaced while from the five Almost selections there were two winners paying a total of $4.90 and three placegetters for a return of $4.00.

Two selections today.
Townsville R6 no.4 - One Alone
Northam R5 no.1 - Etcetera Etcetera

Two Almost selections.
Gosford R5 no.2 - Diamond N' Pearls
Gosford R9 no.1 - Red Punch

michaelg 19th August 2005 10:12 AM

A bad day yesterday, again. No winners, two placegetters paying $1.10 and $1.30, the two other selections ran fourth. Even though the last couple of days have been terrible I will list today's without differentiating between the normal system and the Almost system,and hope...

Queanbeyan R3 no.1 - Zedatious
Queanbeyan R6 no.1 - Sullivan's Creek
Taree R1 no.1 - Desert Shaker
Taree R3 no.4 - Classical Sal
Taree R4 no.2 - Dream With You
Mornington R4 no.1 - Amusing Twist.

I have been testing another system which outperformed the above one. I'll list today's selections and see how they go...

Queanbeyan R3 no.1 - Zedatious
Taree R1 no.1 - Desert Shaker
Taree R4 no.2 - Dream With You
Mornington R5 no.3 - Otravez
Ipswich R1 no.3 - Battle Lover.

Stix 19th August 2005 10:42 AM

....the secret...
 
Michaelg

Without giving away the secret, what is your criteria, and what are your subtle changes?

Just curious?

Stix

michaelg 19th August 2005 11:21 AM

Hi, stix.

The principal rule is that the selection's last start must be within 14 days which I obtain from the neural website. The latest change is that I now place less emphasis on its past few runs but mainly on the ability of the jockey, also the suitability of its barrier draw in relation to the distance of the race - which has so far performed creditably even when the normal system lost over the past couple of days.

Hopefully it won't now crash.

michaelg 20th August 2005 08:13 AM

I'll stick to the second system as it again outperformed the first.

From the five selections there was only one winner of $2.10, and three placegetters for $5.00 to break-even. The first unplaced horse ran third but there were only two place divvies, and the second unplaced horse ran fourth, so they were both close to the money which is somewhat encouraging.

Ten selections today.
Randwick R1 no.5 - Monterrico
Randwick R3 no.5 - Mystery City
Randwick R4 no.1 - Statum
Randwick R6 no.7 - Dance Hero
Dombeen R5 no.1 - Words Of Magic
Dombeen R8 no.3 - Carry On Meroo
Cheltenham R8 no.1 - Nozi
Hamilton R1 no3 - Al Garhood
Hamilton R5 no.1 - Le Garcon
Belmont R1 no.1 - Wire Detonator

michaelg 21st August 2005 09:47 AM

A wipeout yesterday. Maybe it's no good for the better types of races, I'll still list for a few more days to see if it works for inferior races...

One selection today:
Wagga R3 no.2 - Regional Express

michaelg 22nd August 2005 09:58 AM

Yesterday's selection ran third, paying a disappointing $1.10.

Three selections today.
Wellingtn R2 no.1 - Ajaybenza
Wellington R7 no.3 - King's Consul
Wodonga R4 no.1 - Ceefa.

michaelg 23rd August 2005 10:17 AM

A good result yesterday. From the three selections there were two winners paying a total of $9.40, and all three placed paying $5.30.

Six selections today:
Canterbury R1 no.2 - Noreil
Canterbury R4 no.1 - Pfennig
Rocky R8 no.1 - Tycoon Ted
Launceston R4 no.2 - Staccano
Launceston R8 no.4 - Sensai
Launceston R9 no.6 - Mim Mimp.

Stix 23rd August 2005 11:56 AM

Couple for Today
 
Rocky
Race 1 - 2 Stipend
Won and gusted it out last start, will get nice run. 2 - 1,4,5,7

Race 3 - 4 Deadly Clang
Like the last run alot, obviously Joe Dirt next hardest 4 - 2,3,5,10

Race 5 - 1 Mydam Twist
Should have won last start (for Mav), drawn wide, but has claim 1 - 2,4,6,9

Race 8 - 3 Quartpot
Eachway value, again good run last start, does like Rocky and distance 3 - 1,2,4,7

Giddy Up..

Stix 23rd August 2005 04:13 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Stix
Rocky
Race 1 - 2 Stipend
Won and gusted it out last start, will get nice run. 2 - 1,4,5,7

Race 3 - 4 Deadly Clang
Like the last run alot, obviously Joe Dirt next hardest 4 - 2,3,5,10

Race 5 - 1 Mydam Twist
Should have won last start (for Mav), drawn wide, but has claim 1 - 2,4,6,9

Race 8 - 3 Quartpot
Eachway value, again good run last start, does like Rocky and distance 3 - 1,2,4,7

Giddy Up..
Race 1 - 2 Stipend UNPL (Forgot it went around - done a ton of work)
Race 3 - 4 Deadly Clang 2ND $2.40
Race 5 - 1 Mydam Twist UNPL
Race 8 - 3 Quartpot WON $4.90 1.80 (exacta $61.80 - Thanks Tarbs)

tarbs 23rd August 2005 04:26 PM

Well done stix!

I didnt read your post today unfortunately, if I had of known your confidence with Quartpot may have had a better go at the tri - I wont miss it from now on!

Thanks!

Keep up the good work

michaelg 24th August 2005 10:24 AM

From today I'll be omitting races from major tracks as I now do on Saturdays because they seem not to perform. The two Canterbury selections yesterday were unplaced even though Beadman rode them both.

No selections today.

michaelg 25th August 2005 10:21 AM

No selections today, again.

michaelg 26th August 2005 10:19 AM

Four selections today - their pre-post odds are short though.

Geelong R1 no.1 - Al Garhood
Geelong R1 no.2 - Central Banker
Townsville R5 no.11 - Troubeaut
Townsville R8 no.9 - Trip To Manilla

michaelg 27th August 2005 08:19 AM

From yesterday's four selections there were three winners paying $5.30, and three placegetters paying $3.70.

No selections today.

michaelg 28th August 2005 09:19 AM

Seven selections today.

Werribee R2 no.2 - Maneroo Lue
Werribee R5 no.7 - Millie Rose
Warren R6 no.12- Scottish Opera
Hobart R2 no.7 - Star Of Persian
Hobart R3 no.8 - Socrates
Kalgoorlie R5 no.8 - Billyaintsilly
Sun Coast R8 no.11 - Shock Trooper.

michaelg 29th August 2005 10:02 AM

After a scratching there were six selections yesterday. Not a good result - two winners for a return of $3.40 and four placegetters for $5.20.

Two selections today;
Gunnedah R7 no.3 - Sirenese
P. Macquarie R1 no.3 - Resort To Rory.

michaelg 30th August 2005 10:16 AM

A good result yesterday. From the two selections there was one winner of $2.40, and both selections placed paying a total of $3.20.

No selections today.

michaelg 31st August 2005 09:59 AM

Two selections today:

Wyong R4 no.4 - Go Gus
Wyong R7 no.3 - Wild Queen.

michaelg 1st September 2005 10:07 AM

My original method was to only list those horses that had their last run within the past 14 days. Unfortunately I ignored this rule which has resulted in too many losers. So from today I'll only list those whose last race was less than 14 days, and see how it goes...

Two selections today.
Rocky R1 no.2 - Leverage
Rocky R3 no.3 - St Spartica.

michaelg 2nd September 2005 10:01 AM

There was one winner yesterday from the two selections paying $1.90. Both selections placed for a total return of $3.10.

No selections today.

michaelg 3rd September 2005 08:06 AM

Three selections today:

Belmont R1 no. 2 - Townsman
Belmont R4 no.4 - Classic Chevron
Belmont r6 no.6 - Hartley's Dream.

michaelg 4th September 2005 09:56 AM

From yesterday's three selections there was one winner, paying $3.50. Two selections placed paying a total of $3.00.

Four selections today;
Sun Coast R6 no.6 - North Country
Sun Coast R8 no.7 - Shock Trooper
Launceston R2 no.2 - Chakotay
Hamilton R1 no.1 - Virvacity


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