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-   -   First up (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=11373)

Michal 23rd October 2005 08:50 AM

Tested Results
 
Hi Gents,

First time post here and Im about to poop on your parade.
I tested the system using these parameters which I hope are right.

1 Only one 1st up horse in the race


Sys A = 1400m or longer

The result for Jan-September 2005 was
924 races for 53 wins which is 5.7% at a $351 loss

Sys B = 800m to 1200m

The result for Jan-September 2005 was
549 for 53 wins which is 9.7% at a $142 loss

It seams that you are running through a green patch in a desert. Good luck to you but the results don't lie and I tested the system with much hope. I cant say that I have
all races this year but I'll say I have 75% of all races run this year so some results may vary but I wouldnt say that the trend will be reversed if you tested races that I do not have.

Michal

Sportz 31st October 2005 12:26 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Sportz
By the way, on a similar note, you could also take a look at sole first starters. By that I mean, the only horse in the race which is having it's first career start. Again fields of 12 or more and concentrate on maidens.

Don't think it's any holy grail or anything, but it's not bad for a bit of fun or perhaps include these horses in multis.


Hamilton R1-9 Great Steps $17.40/$4.60 :D

Truckie 9th November 2005 11:56 AM

First career start
 
I have often observed races with real first starters (not after spell), and often wonder if these are worth considering if the majority of the field has had three or more starts. This could indicate that the horse has not raced earlier for some reason or other, and the connections have waited until they can have a winner at a good price. If quite a few runners have only one or two starts it does not indicate the same purpose, as there is little difference between one career start and none. These are few and far between, but could be worth waiting for.


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